Wednesday, October 25, 2006

SurveyUSA: Stem Cell Support Erodes

Support for a constitutional amendment to protect various forms of stem cell research is eroding less than two weeks before election day, according to a new SurveyUSA poll.

45% 'Certain' Yes
36% 'Certain' No
18% Not Certain

Amendment 2 still has more support than opposition but some demographic groups are shifting their position on the measure and a significant 18% remain undecided. SurveyUSA calls the measure "too volatile and too unpredictable" to forecast.

Twelve days ago, in an identical SurveyUSA poll, Amendment 2 passed, 57% 'Certain' to vote Yes, 27% 'Certain' to vote No. Since then, 'Certain Yes' is down to 45%, 'Certain No' is up to 36%; a 30-point cushion on 10/12 is today a 9-point cushion. Among males, the Amendment had passed by 49 points on 10/12. Today, it passes by 6, a 43-point swing. Among voters age 35 to 49, opposition to the Amendment has doubled from a SurveyUSA poll on 9/14. Among affluent voters, the Amendment passed by 35 points on 10/12, passes by 2 points today, a 33-point swing. In Central MO, the Amendment had passed by 32 points, now is defeated by 6, a 38-point swing.

Complete crosstab numbers on the Senate race and the stem cell amendment can be found HERE.

1 comment:

Dionne said...

Wow!!!!! This is awesome and I am shocked to see the numbers shift so significantly.