Novak: Talent Will Hold On

Conservative columnist Bob Novak believes the Democrats will win the U.S. House in 5 days but fall just short in the U.S. Senate, in part because of failing to win Missouri.

Here is Novak's analysis:

Missouri: The race between Sen. Jim Talent (R) and state Auditor Claire McCaskill (D) remains neck and neck, but one key factor is the curious failure by the Democrat to consolidate the black vote. She is reportedly pulling just 70 percent of it at this point, when she should be at about 85 percent. Talent is known for working with the African-American community and for working for their votes when most Republican candidates do not. This race may decide control of the U.S. Senate. Leaning Republican Retention.