Thursday, September 28, 2006

Talent Sits on Edge - 48% Approve

Sen. Jim Talent registers a 48% approval rating in the latest monthly SurveyUSA tracking poll. 44% disapprove of the Senator and just 4% are undecided.

Talent's number is down 4 points from August, when he scored a 52% rating in the same poll.
Overall, it shows the Senator sitting on the edge of that magic 50% approval rating -- the number most politicos believe divides the "safe" incumbents from the "vulnerable" ones.

Quick Breakdown:

Talent wins males by 11 points, but loses females by 2.
He scores highest (50%) with younger voters, the 18-34 year-old range.
Independents disapprove of the junior Senator 49%-42%.
Moderates disapprove of him 50%-44%.
50% approve of him in St. Louis, and 54% give him the nod in the central part of the state.

Here in the Ozarks, respondents approve of Talent 54% to 39%.

Again, keep an eye on the Ozark numbers. This is obviously not a head-to-head matchup with Democratic challenger Claire McCaskill, but Democrats believe if McCaskill can net between 40-41% of the vote in Southwest Missouri, she can win the race. Anything more, they believe, and she's won it. On the other hand, in a close race, 39% probably won't cut it.

This was a poll of 600 Missourians taken between Sept. 14-Sept. 20th with a margin of error of about +/- 4%.

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