Saturday, October 28, 2006

Post-Dispatch: Voters Support All 3 Initiatives

According to polling by the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, Missouri voters could approve all three statewide ballot initiatives in just 9 days.

STEM CELL AMENDMENT 2
Support 51%
Oppose 35%
Undecided 14%

In Southwest Missouri, voters oppose the measure 54% to 35%.

MINIMUM WAGE HIKE
Support 63%
Oppose 29%
Undecided 8%

In Southwest Missouri, voters support the measure 52% to 39%.

TOBACCO TAX HIKE
Support 53%
Oppose 34%
Undecided 13%

In Southwest Missouri, voters oppose the measure 50% to 42%.

The minimum wage hike looks like it has the best shot at passing. If the wage hike was a politician, and it's opponent was at 29% at this point in the race, politicos would call it a done deal. By looking at this polling, it would take an election night stunner to shoot down the minimum wage hike.

The other two remain dicey. Undecideds are in the double-digits and stem cells seems very fluid and apt to turn on turnout.

So, bring your predictions henceforth. Which will pass, which will fail?

8 comments:

boyd said...

I am not going to guess what will pass or fail, but I have yet to talk to anyone who really understands the stem cell question. I even had a lawyer tell me he had read it and was confused. I don't know what percentage of people use tobacco, but I assume most people will not vote to increase THEIR taxes, and the mimium wage issue may cause a pity/guilt response from most people. This poll does show the disconnect between the Ozarks and the rest of the state.

bobicus tomatocus said...

All three will pass, though number 2 interesting strictly from a statistical point of view.

The number of jobs in Missouri will decrease and possible new manufacturing plants will not locate here because of the way the Minimum wage law is written.

Old Iconoclast said...

Stem cell passes, but barely.

Tobacco fails because of the Harry-and-Louise ads being run by NoMo3.

Minimum wage scores a slam dunk across the state. Maybe Boyd is right about the pity-guilt thing.

The Libertarian Guy said...

All three of these issues play on emotions, rather than logic. It's sad that more voters don't do more thinking instead of emoting.

Anonymous said...

boyd said...

"This poll does show the disconnect between the Ozarks and the rest of the state."


Without a doubt.

Russ said...

Watch out for amendment 7. This is from the Jefferson City paper.
Amendment makes pay hikes easier for elected officials, judges

By The Associated Press
While voters are being bombarded with ads about the Senate race, tobacco tax and stem cell initiatives, few likely are even aware of another measure that makes it easier to raise the salaries of legislators, other elected officials and judges.

Another rarely discussed ballot measure makes clear that veterans' groups don't have to pay property taxes on their buildings.

The pay hike measure, known as Amendment 7, is raising some eyebrows.

The measure's title, the part most people study in the voting booth, focuses on another part of the amendment, one that constitutionally prohibits officials convicted of a felony while in office, impeached or removed for misconduct from receiving their state pension. Similar provisions are already in state law. Only at the end does the title mention the salary commission, and it doesn't spell out what would change.

Some political observers say the language is misleading to the public.

“Nobody's going to look at the last part,” said Richard Fulton, a political science professor at Northwest Missouri State University. “It's not a huge part of the budget, and it doesn't cost a huge amount of money, but it is kind of sleazy to just slip it in there.”

The Libertarian Guy said...

"This poll does show the disconnect between the Ozarks and the rest of the state"

People up north, from what I've seen on the St. Louis Post-Dispatch "Political Fix" forums, view anyone downstate as a bunch of drooling bumpkins*, then have the gall to criticize us for voicing displeasure about how WE helped fund their domed stadium.

Well, maybe next time, they can use their OWN money, instead of ours.



*They have a point, if they're talking about the write-in candidate for the 7th Congressional...

Rev Chris M Fluharty said...

Libertarian Guy- They do not think because our public indoctrination centers do not teach critical thinking. They are taught to think how the society tells them to. Any marketing agent will tell you to play on the heart more then the mind. Even McDonald's is doing this. The NEA has done a good job programing the averege citizen to be a mindless zombies. This is why the poll numbers are so different. our SW Missuri society is very different then St Louis society. If people actually thought then we'd have the Constitution Party and the Libertarian Party in office to some degree because we actually follow the Constitution, unlike the republocrats. Instaed we are told the only the two big parties have the answers and the majority of the people blindly follow this false primise.