Thursday, November 30, 2006

Rep. Lampe Files Family Planning Resolution

Springfield Rep. Sara Lampe has pre-filed a resolution that will force Missouri lawmakers to put themselves "on the record in support of family planning services and education."

The resolution is intended to measure support among legislators for contraceptive access and pregnancy education.

"To reduce unintended pregnancy and abortion, you should be for family planning and education," said Rep. Lampe in a release.

Senator Joan Bray is co-sponsoring the legislation with Lampe. "Putting prevention first is the common-sense solution to the problem of unintended pregnancy," Bray said. "Our resolution will make it clear that the Missouri legislature recognizes that educating and supporting women so they do not become pregnant in the first place is one of our most important investments."

The release also cites a study by the Guttmacher Institute, which revealed a poor woman is four times as likely to experience an unplanned pregnancy as a higher-income woman. Lampe said in 2003, the Missouri legislature cut women's health care, causing 37 Missouri clinics to close or cut hours and leaving more than 30,000 women without cancer screenings, annual exams and birth control.

Lampe and Bray said funding for these programs will again be dealt with in the 2007 session.

"As we look at the best, most cost-effective ways to improve healthcare for low-income Missourians, I want the legislature to send a clear message to the Blunt administration: Put prevention first," Bray said.

Political Potpourri

As you hunker down for the snow and ice, here are some notable political stories from other blogs/papers:

*Governor Blunt is pledging to take a brief fundraising holiday until the new campaign finance rules trigger into law. The Columbia Daily Tribune Politics Blog has the wrap.

*The State Salary Commission has made its recommendations for 2007 pay hikes for public officials. Now it will take a 2/3 majority vote by lawmakers to override what the commission is proposing. The Arch City Chronicle has obtained a Democratic memo on the issue.

*The Springfield News-Leader reports on Rep. Roy Blunt's meeting with local media. From what I can tell, not much news came out of this, other than that Blunt "intends to run again in two years." And oh yeah, that pork that local leaders love will continue to flow our way.

*Missouri House Democrats want a big boost in higher ed funding this legislative session. Here's the link, via johncombest.com from the Jefferson City News Tribune.

Wednesday, November 29, 2006

League cancels forum - who's to blame?

The League of Women Voters issued this press released Wednesday morning:

League of Women Voters of Southwest Missouri president Rick Hopkins has announced:"After much deliberation resulting in agreement by a majority of the board,the 2006 Legislative Forum is being cancelled due to lack of support by the legislators. Only one legislator, Charlie Norr, agreed to attend the forum."

I'm not sure who this is a poorer reflection of: the League that it can't gather lawmakers together to talk about important issues; lawmakers who don't find time in their schedule for a group like the League; or the apathetic public who don't take the time to attend such forums and educate themselves on the issues, reducing anyone's incentive to either hold or participate in such events.

Frist Will Not Run For President

Republican U.S. Senate leader Bill Frist said he would not make a run for the White House in 2008 and instead return to practicing medicine.

"In the Bible, God tells us for everything there is a season, and for me, for now, this season of being an elected official has come to a close. I do not intend to run for president in 2008," Frist said in a statement.

"In the short term, I will resume my regular medical mission trips as a doctor around the world to serve those in poverty, in famine, and in civil war," he said. "I will continue to be a strong voice to fix what is broken in our health care system and to address the issues of clean water and public health globally."

Here is the Reuters article.

Read Frist's entire statement on his website here.

Fire Cause: Undetermined

State investigators say the reason a fire began in an Anderson Group Home early Monday morning, killing 10 and severely injuring at least 18 remains undetermined.

In a press conference at the scene this morning, authorities announced a cause has not yet been found but that investigative work on the scene has been concluded.

Authorities ruled out arson or the furnace as being possible causes for the deadly blaze. They said they know the fire began in the attic and that there were some problems with spliced electrical wires in that area. Still, they could not pinpoint the cause.

While arson charges have been ruled out, authorities said negligence charges could still be possible.

State Fire Marshall Randy Cole said that authorities may never determine the cause of this fire, but that the investigation is ongoing.

Investigators Release Anderson Fire Report Today; Lawmakers Will Consider Action


Along with my colleagues, I've spent the last two days covering the horrific group home fire in Anderson, Mo. that took 10 lives.

You can watch our continuing coverage of the deadly blaze and its aftermath by clicking HERE.

Despite much speculation, investigators have not yet determined a cause. That will mostly likely come today when authorities release their findings of their fire/death investigation. Ky3 will air the press conference live Wednesday at 10 a.m.

Anytime there's a tragedy of this magnitude, politicians are forced to pledge some type of action. Ky3's Cara Restelli is reporting that lawmakers are already putting group home regulations at the top of their priority list this coming legislative session. Lt. Gov. Peter Kinder says requiring sprinkler systems in all group homes would be too costly. But Springfield Rep. Charlie Denison (#135th) says he may support stricter staffing levels for group homes depending on the type of fire equipment supplied in the residence and the amount of fire exits available. There's no evidence yet the Anderson Home broke any current laws. More on that could come in the 10 a..m. presser.

Tuesday, November 28, 2006

McCaskill Steps Into Senate Chamber; Sets Meeting With G.A.O.

Sen.-elect Claire McCaskill stepped into the U.S. Senate chamber for the first time today, as she continues her Washington orientation.

"It was extraordinary," McCaskill said in a telephone interview with me from Washington. "It was one of those goosebump moments where reality begins to set it. I'm thrilled to have the responsibility. I have big shoes to fill."

McCaskill said she was accompanied into the chamber by the Secretary of the Senate early this afternoon. The Secretary explained to her how the January 4th swearing-in ceremony will be conducted. McCaskill also learned about rules of the Senate Cloak Room and met with pages about their duties.

McCaskill isn't sure exactly where she'll be sitting in the chamber just yet, but said she knows she'll be in "rookie corner."

She said she has met all of the new Senators except Republican Bob Corker.

McCaskill also said she has already set up a meeting with David Walker of the Government Accountability Office for next Tuesday. "It was one of my most important priorities to set up this meeting. I want to be able to look at their audits and use the audits," McCaskill said.

Right now, McCaskill is still mostly focused on staff. Adrianne Marsh has signed on as her press secretary/communications director. Tod Martin has signed on as Deputy Chief of Staff.

McCaskill is still conducting interviews for three critical positions: Chief of Staff, Legislative Director and Administrative Director.

"It'll be a total of around 35 to 40 people eventually," McCaskill said of her hirings. She said 10 to 15 will be stationed in Missouri, and she promised to have an office in Springfield.

McCaskill will travel back to Missouri tonight and be back in the Auditor's office in Jefferson City tomorrow, where she will begin helping Auditor-elect Susan Montee with her transition.

Claire For V.P.? Don't Ask, Don't Tell

It was an election that could've gone either way.

Growling and snarling was avoided (at least in public).

But raising dough was the worst part, and it remains a real threat to democracy.

And by the way, the Senator thing is mega-cool, but Claire's just fine.

Those were just some of the tidbits Missouri's new Sen.-elect shared with Hardball's Chris Matthews today in her first in-person rapid-fire appearance on the show.

McCaskill told Matthews she wasn't sure if the glass ceiling for women in politics has been broken, and that she's not ambitious enough for the Vice Presidency.

But then again, she also initially said she wasn't interested in running for the U.S. Senate. Then a guy named Chuck Schumer got a hold of her cell phone number.

MATTHEWS: Come on. First woman vice president?
MCCASKILL: I am not that ambitious.
MATTHEWS: If Hillary doesn`t get it. But she won`t have two women on the ticket, right? Probably not.
MCCASKILL: What I want to do is ask some tough questions about how we`re spending money over there. How in the world do we spend $350 billion and our guys not have the right armor?


McCaskill quickly pivoted to Iraq. She said she's been calling it a civil war, for months. She said she's been calling for a phased withdrawal, for months. And she said, the U.S. should be talking to Middle Eastern countries.

Talk to Iran? Sure, says McCaskill. Sit down with Syria? You betcha. But still, neither she nor other Democrats are willing to propose the most politically risky but possibly most influential idea to impact the war: vote to cut off funding.

That is thought of as unheard of, upatriotic, not on the table - especially for a Democratic Senator from a purple-colored state where the paint never really dries.

McCaskill doesn't see any reason to change the controversial "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" policy.

"I don't think it's your identity. I think it is something that has worked," McCaskill said. "But I'm open to talking about it."

Matthews urged McCaskill to keep coming back to the show to share the news.

"I'm very happy to," she replied.

Matthews said he thought Sen. Jim Talent was the best Republican running in this cycle, and that two good candidates were in the race.

Something to be said for that.

O'Reilly Slams Missouri Judge

Bill O'Reilly is taking aim at a Missouri judge who sentenced a child rapist to probation after being convicted of having sexual intercourse and oral sex with his nine-year-old stepdaughter.

It's the case of 50-year-old Kenneth Slaght. O'Reilly said the prosecutor asked for 15 years, but the Judge gave him probation.

Circuit Court Judge Larry Meyer said he couldn't talk about the sentence.

So O'Reilly brought Missouri Gov. Matt Blunt onto his cable TV show tonight, who was more than obliged to talk about the case.

"I certainly want to say that my thoughts go out to the victim and their family and the victim. I can only imagine how excruciating it is for them. This is really a great example of why we need to take discretion away from judges. In Missouri, that's what we've done," Blunt told O'Reilly. "Unfortunately, a law that I signed last year -- excuse me, this year, wasn't in effect at the time this crime was committed," Blunt added referring to Jessica's Law.

But Blunt reminded O'Reilly that since Missouri judges are elected, the voters could ultimately punish Judge Meyer at the polls.

"In one of the advantages of Missouri, as you point out, most of our judges are elected. And the people of -- I believe it's Lawrence County, will be able to ask those questions and make him -- an informed decision when they select a person to act as the judge in that county," Blunt said.

"And certainly, there will be people, I think, that want an explanation. It is, though, important to remind ourselves, that that's why we need to take discretion away from judges and have strict mandatory sentences. And that's what we'll have in the future in Missouri. It will be at least 30 years behind bars. It's a life sentence ... from 30 years served behind bars and then lifetime supervision. So for example, in this case this person would have a 30-year behind bar sentence and a lifetime sentence with 30 years served behind bars."

"So we've taken steps to take that discretion away from judges so that we can better protect our children, our families. And we should have no higher priority," the Governor said.

O'Reilly noted that Judge Meyer is a 64-year-old Republican.

Sunday, November 26, 2006

McCaskill Plans To Question War Funding


Appearing on CBS' Face the Nation, Sen.-elect Claire McCaskill said the United States needs to begin to withdraw from Iraq and said she plans to question supplemental funding requests for the conflict.

McCaskill's comments came in response to a question from moderator Gloria Borger about whether U.S. troops should still be in Iraq for longer than a year.

"I think we have to begin to withdraw. I think all of us are looking forward to the Baker-Hamilton report," McCaskill replied. "I think all of us know we have made a terrible mistake in Iraq. There are no good answers."

McCaskill said engaging other moderate Arab nations in the region would be key to solving the Iraq crisis, but acknowledged that neither party really has a solution.

She said while there is only one Commander-in-Chief, Congress has a role of oversight and accountability.

"It is unrealistic that we're going to pull the plug on the finances to make sure our troops have what they need on the ground in Iraq," McCaskill said.

But she did promise probing questions about future funding requests from the White House.

"I want to ask some questions, because this supplemental appropriation of $150 billion dollars the President is going to ask for, clearly we need some accountability. People have gotten rich off this war and I want to make sure we put a stop to that," McCaskill said.

McCaskill said she wanted to investigate war profiteering and find out why $350 billion dollars has been spent on a war, "and some guys still don't have the right armor."

The two other guests on the program, Sens-elect Sherrod Brown of Ohio and Bob Corker of Tennessee, along with McCaskill, signaled that they want to wait and see what the James Baker Iraq Commission reports before calling for any specific solution.

But in her first Sunday morning appearance as a Senator-elect, McCaskill used her street cred as an Auditor to focus many of her comments on finances.

McCaskill was asked about how she planned to "take the swagger out of the step of the Democrats." She said it was clear Democrats didn't dominate the election and would need to work with Republicans on issues. When pressed by Borger on a specific issue, McCaskill went back to fiscal restraint, a theme she stressed in campaign stops here in the Ozarks.

"I think saving money for taxpayers and the way we spend money. I think attacking this earmark process," McCaskill said.

"I never met Claire," responded Republican Sen-elect Corker. "But I like what she said."

McCaskill then called ethics reform, "the kissing-cousin of earmarks," signaling that she might support dealing with both issues in a larger legislative package.

Borger also asked McCaskill briefly about her openness to Social Security reform. "If there's no privatization, I'm open," McCaskill replied.

The Face the Nation appearance is just part of McCaskill's trip to Washington. McCaskill's husband, Joseph Shepard was with her in the studio for Sunday's interview. According to spokeswoman Adrianne Marsh, McCaskill will spend a few days in the nation's capitol, devoting most of her time to meetings and conducting interviews for Senate staff. McCaskill is also scheduled to appear on MSNBC's Hardball with Chris Matthews Monday as well as the Tavis Smiley show on PBS.

Marsh says McCaskill will make her first trip into the U.S. Senate chamber this week.

I'm betting that McCaskill will have a much bigger presence on national political talkshows and cable channel gab-fests than Sen. Talent did. Talent's shying away from the shows, and McCaskill's probable gravitation to them, suits their personalities.

Skelton on MTP: Iraq In Civil War, Begin Withdrawal This Year

Rep. Ike Skelton said the conflict in Iraq has digressed into a civil war and that the United States should begin to gradually withdraw out of the country this year. Skelton made his comments on NBC's Meet the Press this morning, during a panel discussion about the future of the United States' role in Iraq.

"Scholars will say no. I will say yes, because the violence is so heavy," Skelton said to Tim Russert, after the moderator pressed him on the civil war question.

"In true civil wars Tim, there is a political goal. There is a way to stop it and shake hands and put an end to it. The sectarian violence, the only purpose is killing each other," Skelton added. "But as far as peace and decorum is concerned, it's a civil war in my book."

Skelton also said the Iraq war will not be won until Iraqis are properly trained and begin to fight the battles themselves.

"I also think we're going to have to send a message to the Maliki government, the Iraqi people, as well as the American people that we are not there forever. And it is in the law that we redeploy this year. I would begin it this year," Skelton said.

Skelton's colleague on the House Armed Services Committee Rep. Duncan Hunter said the best strategy for victory is to "Go Iraqi." Hunter said the United States must send more of the 114 Iraqi battalions into the action.

Skelton said it is up to the United States to train and advise these brigades, and then gradually move U.S. troops out of the country. Skelton has a proposed a plan to redeploy one American brigade out of the country for every three Iraqi brigades that are trained and ready to fight.

"The problem has been, a lot of the trainers, and they are great Americans, but they were not trained to be trainers. That's what Special Forces do," Skelton said.

Russert noted and Skelton acknowledged that he has evolved in his thinking on the war. In December of 2005, Skelton rejected Democratic calls for a quick withdrawal from Iraq and said pulling out would leave the country "a snakepit for terrorists."

"Your thinking has changed," Russert asked Skelton.

"It has. The situation has changed," Skelton replied.

When asked how many U.S. troops will be in Iraq one year from now, Skelton shied away from a specific number. "I hope it's far less than what we have today," he said. "It's up to Iraqis to form their own future."

Brownback Looks To Be In For '08

Republican Sen. Sam Brownback, a devoted social conservative from neighboring Kansas, all but announced his plans to run for President in 2008 this morning on ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos.

"I'm very close with announcements," Brownback told Stephanopoulos. "I think there is room on the Republican side for someone that's a full-scale conservative, that's an economic, fiscal and social conservative."

Sen. Brownback added that there looks to be room to develop "new plays on the compassionate conservative" side of the Republican party.

"I can tell from that smile, you're in," Stephanopoulos said to Brownback as the interview closed.

Brownback visited Springfield last spring and spoke to students at Missouri State University. He would clearly be the early favorite of some social conservatives and evangelicals in southwest Missouri.

In the same interview, Illinois Sen. Dick Durbin mentioned Sen.-elect Claire McCaskill, when speaking of Sen. Barack Obama's potential 2008 White House run. "I know he and Michelle are sitting down, making hard choices at this point," said Durbin in a satellite interview from St. Louis.

Durbin spoke of Obama's vast influence during the 2006 cycle, and how he campaigned for McCaskill the Sunday night before the election in St. Louis. "He came back the next day bone-weary and told me, 'I think she's going to win.' It just tells you what he means to those campaigns that that was the knock-out punch, the closing act in Claire McCaskill's campaign, in one of the battleground states."

Just a sidenote, I interviewed McCaskill back in the fall of 2005 in Springfield, when she was still putting together the first pieces of her campaign. For fun, I asked her to predict how much she thought she would win by a year later. She said two points. She won by 2.2%.

Saturday, November 25, 2006

McCaskill's "No Amnesty" Pledge


Sen. Jim Talent attacked Claire McCaskill repeatedly for supporting "amnesty for illegal immigrants," during the 2006 campaign.

McCaskill repeatedly fired back that she would never support amnesty. She ran an ad saying, "Let me tell you what I believe in . . . No amnesty for illegal immigrants."

Now as McCaskill heads to the U.S. Senate, she may face piercing pressure and a difficult choice on the touchy topic of immigration policy.

The Los Angeles Times reports:

"Democrats presented a largely united front on immigration this year, providing crucial support for a measure that would have allowed illegal immigrants to gain citizenship -- a bill critics attacked as "amnesty." But as the party prepares to take power on Capitol Hill in January, tensions are surfacing over this provision and other aspects of the complex debate."

"Although Democratic leaders insist that rewriting immigration law is a priority, they acknowledge that building consensus on how to do that will be tricky. They must deal with competing camps within the party and address concerns raised by core constituencies -- hurdles that could block passage of a final bill. "

"McCaskill and a slew of incoming House Democrats took stands that, in the shorthand of campaign rhetoric, seemed more conservative on immigration issues than the positions staked out by the party's congressional stalwarts."

If an immigration bill comes to the floor, it will surely be an early test for McCaskill, on whether she decides to compromise with Democratic leaders and what she defines as amnesty.

Friday, November 24, 2006

McCaskill, Skelton to Meet the Nation

Set your alarms.

Fresh back from her vacation, Senator-elect Claire McCaskill will appear on the morning talk show circuit this Sunday.

McCaskill is slated to appear on CBS' Face the Nation. Sens-elect Bob Corker of Tennessee and Sherrod Brown of Ohio are also slated to appear.

Meanwhile, Rep. Ike Skelton will appear on NBC's Meet the Press. Skelton is the incoming chairman of the House Armed Services Committee. Skelton will appear with colleague Rep. Duncan Hunter, who will turn the reigns over to Skelton in January.

You can watch Skelton at 9 a.m. on KY3, and then take a half hour break for breakfast before tuning in for McCaskill at 10:30 a.m. on KOLR.

Emerson: Reimportation Has "Fighting Chance"


Should the United States permit broad importation of prescription drugs from other countries?

The Associated Press is reporting that legislation to allow reimportation could gain steam in a Democratic Congress, but still probably won't be a priority.

"Members of the House and Senate are gearing up for a renewed push to change federal law and permit broader imports of prescription drugs from Canada and elsewhere, where certain medicines can cost less than two-thirds what they do in the United States. Their hope is the imports will drive down prices at home," writes the A.P's Andrew Bridges.

The A.P. piece includes comments from Rep. Jo Ann Emerson, who supports reimportation legislation.

If and when it does come to the fore, not everyone is taking Democratic support as a given.
"A lot of people say, 'Oh, it's just the Democrats,' but it's not. It depends on where you're from, and who are your constituents," said Rep. Jo Ann Emerson, R-Mo., a key sponsor of previous reimportation legislation.

Still, Emerson says the issue will have a "fighting chance" in the new Congress, even without a veto-proof majority. Others are less sanguine.

Meanwhile, the New York Times is reporting that the drug industry is already on the defensive.

Thursday, November 23, 2006

Thankful For Politics

There has been no 9/11-style attack on the U.S. homeland in over five years.

Donald Rumsfeld is no longer defense secretary.

Saddam found guilty in a reasonably fair trial.

Those are some of the (political) things Andrew Sullivan is thankful for this year.

What do Missourians have to be thankful for politically this Turkey Day? And speaking of turkeys, which politician deserves the Turkey of the Year award and why?

Kicking Him While He's Down


It's mostly a moot point now.

But I was struck when I read Sen. Jim Talent's November approval rating, according to SurveyUSA.

37%. Talk about kicking a man when he's already down.

Fresh off his failed re-election bid, just 37% of Missourians approve of the job Sen. Jim Talent is doing. What's changed since Talent was scoring in the mid-40s over the last few months?

He lost an election. So now more people disapprove of the job he's doing because he lost? Or is SurveyUSA just that off?

It doesn't really add up to me. I mean, whether you voted for Sen. Talent or not, he surely doesn't deserve one of the lowest approval ratings in the country, does he?

According to SurveyUSA, Talent now is tied for the second lowest approval rating in the country. He's second only to fellow ousted Sen. Mike Dewine, who's approval rating sits at 34%. The others in the basement? Sens. Rick Santorum (37%) and Conrad Burns (41%), who both lost their seats.

Talent only gets a 40% approval mark in the Ozarks. Apparently, even some of the people who voted for him now don't approve of him. Just because he lost?

After covering and observing Sen. Talent for a good part of a year, it's clear to me that he's an honest, classy, highly respectable public servant who is in the public arena for the right reasons.
Even when we sparred during interviews, he was always cordial and answered my questions. At one point during the campaign, he even encouraged me to "keep plugging along," and "not let my critics get me down." He was a Senator before he was a pol. That can't be said for every officeholder.

It will be interesting to see where he takes his Talent next, and whether he will take another shot at public office down the road.

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

Pollsters Score Well in '06




More evidence that all-in-all the pollsters did pretty well this election cycle with their mounds of data and piles of numbers . . .

The Wall Street Journal has a nice look back at the U.S. Senate races, and how close each pollster came to the final result.

In Missouri, Mason-Dixon, Rasmussen and Reuters-Zogby tracked pretty well with the final result. SurveyUSA gave Claire McCaskill a generous lead weeks before the election that not even Democrats believed.

Still, race by race, the major pollsters delivered solid performances. Electoral-vote.com also offers a nice summary of the results.

***Also, as a sidenote, as you can see, I've been trying to publish more pictures to spice up the blog. During the last week of the campaign, I tried to snap some pics at different campaign stops. But of course, I didn't have time to publish them. So, here they are. As you can also see, I'm just an amateur photographer. But as I continue to cover politics and politicians, I'm going to try to take my camera with me and snap as many images as possible to be posted here. We'll see how it works. Wish me luck.

38% Approve of Gov. Blunt

38 percent of Missourians approve of the job Governor Matt Blunt is doing, according to a new monthly tracking poll by SurveyUSA.

That's up two points from last month.

57% disapprove.

71% of Republicans approve of Blunt; 76% of Democrats disapprove. The Governor loses independents 49%-46%.

Just 63% of self-identified conservatives approve of the Governor's performance, according to the November numbers.

Here in the Ozarks, Blunt's approval rating sits at 45%. While more people in Southwest Missouri still disapprove, this remains the Governor's strongest region of support.

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

NYT Edsall: Blunt Embodies Same Old Party


The New York Times editorial page rips Rep. Roy Blunt today, for "half legal corruption" that ultimately took down the Republican majority in Congress.

Edsall writes that while Blunt is a low-key figure, it will be the Democrats challenge to give Missouri's 7th District Congressman a national identity.

"Last Friday, the Republicans gave the Democrats a gift that will keep on giving: Roy Blunt of Missouri," writes guest columnist Thomas Edsall as the lede of his stinging repudiation of Blunt.

"Roy Blunt embodies the insidious, half-legal corruption that has permeated the G.O.P. majority since 1995. Blunt's election as minority whip, by a 137-to-57 margin, was a defiant Republican rejection of calls to clean up their act."

Edsall says that Blunt modeled himself off of Former Majority Leader Tom Delay, creating a big network of committees that helped raise money from the same lobbyists.

According to Edsall:

*In 2003, after DeLay moved up to majority leader and turned the so-called K Street Project over to him, Blunt promptly converted a legion of Republican lobbyists into an arm of the House whip operation.

*In 2004, Blunt turned his lobbyist team loose to win passage of a bill eliminating a $50 billion corporate tax break that the World Trade Organization had ruled in violation of international agreements. These lobbyists inserted $143 billion worth of new corporate tax breaks, turning the bill into a Fortune 500 Christmas tree.

*After divorcing his wife of 35 years to marry a tobacco lobbyist, Abigail Perlman, he cleared his second marriage with the House Ethics Committee to get ''a waiver of the limitations of the gift rule to allow me to accept gifts in connection with my wedding.''

* Almost all Altria subsidiaries -- Kraft, Miller Brewing, Philip Morris (remember Abigail Perlman) -- hired Andy Blunt (his son), along with other financial backers of Roy Blunt.

Monday, November 20, 2006

LeVota Urges No Pay Hikes for Officials

Assistant House Minority Leader Paul LeVota (D-Kansas City) urged the State Salary Commission to recommend against giving lawmakers, judges and statewide elected officials pay increases Monday.

The commission faces a December 1st deadline for recommending hikes covering the next two fiscal years. The Commission held its first meeting on pay raises today. But LeVota notes that just six commissioners attended the first meeting, and only 14 of the 22 members have been appointed. LeVota added that under the state constitution, the commission could have started holding hearings as early as August.

In a press release today, LeVota criticized the Commission for holding hearings on the issue, just 11 days before the deadline.

"This is too important a task to rush through in just 11 days with only a fraction of the commissioners participating," LeVota said in a release. "As a result, prudent course of action would be for the commission to recommend against pay hikes."

A constitutional amendment that passed on election day now makes it a bit harder for lawmakers to reject a salary hike. Before the passage of Amendment 7, lawmakers could reject a pay raise with a simple majority vote. Now, a two-thirds majority is needed to shoot down a pay raise.

Some have called the ballot language of amendment 7 "deceptive."

House Democratic spokesman Marc Powers tells the KY3 Political Blog it was wrong for Rep. Mark Wright to pin the blame on Secretary of State Robin Carnahan for the ballot language.

"Fact is, the sponsors of HJR 55, the legislation that put Amendment 7 on the ballot, wrote that language. The sponsors made no mention of the ballot language when HJR 55 was debated.
As a result, most lawmakers were unaware of it until well after the fact," Powers said in an e-mail to me.

"It is true that the Secretary of State's Office typically writes the ballot language. The SOS has sole authority to do so when a measure is placed on the ballot via initiative petition," Powers said.

"When the General Assembly proposes a ballot measure, however, it has the right to dictate the ballot language under RSMo. 116.155. Although the legislature has put several measures before voters since that statute was enacted in 1999, near as I can tell HJR 55/Amendment 7 marked the first time lawmakers have exercised that option," he added.

HERE is the link to the final version of the resolution that voters ultimately approved.

A7 passes -- no time wasted in pushing for pay raises

JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) - On the heels of voter approval of aconstitutional change, a commission meets and prepares to recommend state officials' pay raises.

The panel has 14 of its 22 expected members. And it must hold four meetings around the state and issue a report, all by December 1.

The first meeting was today at the Capitol in Jefferson City,with six members attending. One of Governor Blunt's recent appointees, Republican businessman Jack Pohrer, of St. Louis, is the group's chairman. The panel is to suggest pay levels for statewide officials,legislators and judges.

A newly approved amendment means the plan would take effect unless 2/3 of lawmakers reject it before February 1.

Sunday, November 19, 2006

34% of Missourians Approve of Bush

Just about a third of Missourians approve of the job President Bush is doing, according to the latest SurveyUSA tracking poll.

This is the President's lowest rating in the poll in six months. In May, Bush sat at a dismal 29%.

34% of Missourians polled in November said they approve of the President; 64% said they disapprove.

23% of Republicans disapprove of the President as well as 51% of independents.

Here in the conservative Ozarks, Bush just registers a 37% approval rating. Just 28% approve of the President in St. Louis.

This poll was taken right after the election, from November 8-11. It surveyed 600 adults and has a margin of error of 4%.

Saturday, November 18, 2006

Late Daycare Payments: "Not An Isolated Problem"

A story on a northside Springfield daycare center closing due to delayed payments from the state has sparked other daycare facilities to come forward about similar problems.

New details have emerged about other daycare facilities that have also struggled to receive timely payments for the state-subsidized children they care for.

This story that aired Friday on KY3 News @ 10 offers the latest example.

Other calls and e-mails from providers around the Ozarks are beginning to trickle in. According to daycare providers, lawmakers are beginning to be contacted about the problem. We'll keep you posted on this story as it develops.

Friday, November 17, 2006

Dropping the Ball on Amendment 7

As a whole, the media, including yours truly, failed in our pre-election coverage of Amendment 7.

This is an instance where the critics are right: We failed the public, big time.

And I'm kicking myself for not covering it before the election. Live and learn.

Watch my story about the confusion and controversy surrounding Amendment 7 HERE.

Confusion about the language in a new constitutional amendment approved overwhelmingly by Missourians last week has some regretting their vote.

84 percent of voters approved Amendment 7 on election day. That's the highest percentage any ballot measure received. But as some voters look closer, they are finding the devil is in the details.

"It's just one of those things," said Christian County Clerk Kay Brown. "It looks like it makes perfect sense." Brown said she has fielded some calls over the confusion.

The bulk of the sixty-five words on the ballot asked voters if elected officials and judges convicted of felonies should forfeit their pensions.

To Ozark voter Greg Rhodes, it seemed like a slam dunk, so he voted yes.

"I thought it was clearly black and white," Rhodes said.

"The first part talks about felony convictions, but the last part is the clincher," said Brown. "I don't think it was clear what people were voting for."

What Rhodes, and others did not realize is that he was also voting to make it harder for lawmakers to reject pay raises for elected officials and judges.

"I absolutely regret it, absolutely 100%. If I would've known a smidgen what was in this amendment, I wouldn't voted for it," Rhodes said.

"Previously, it took a simple majority to reject a salary change. now the change requires a two-thirds vote," he added. "Perhaps, it wasn't as clearly stated as it should've been."

But those words never appear in the language on the ballot approved by the secretary of state.

"I just feel we were mislead," he said.

Brown said the Secretary of State is responsible for placing the language on the ballot. "Perhaps it wasn't as clearly stated as it should've been," she said.

It's also notable that this amendment was not proposed by a concerned citizens group - but lawmakers themselves.

"They slipped that in there, they didn't want us to know that." Rhodes said.

In a big election year, with a long ballot, amendment seven received little attention.

"I never heard anything on TV about it. I think honestly it got away from you guys," Rhodes said referring to the media.

Rhodes knows people must responsible for votes they cast, but he also believes political leaders should be more accountable to items they try to pass.

"They should go above and beyond the call of getting information out to us. They wonder why in Jeff. City and Washington, the American voters do not trust them, and this is an example why," he said.

Rep. Mark Wright noted that Secretary of State Robin Carnahan is responsible for writing "the title," on the ballot. He said the idea behind the joint resolution for the Amendment was to give more power to a commission of citizens to impact salaries. "This was politically motivated in a way, because any type of salary raise is political, especially in election years. The members of the judiciary were really the ones who were pushing this. They are the ones with lifetime appointments," Wright said.

Wright also added that this probably wasn't the best way of going about the change. "People were poorly educated about this," he said.

Rep. Bob Dixon was also contacted for this story, but has not returned a call for comment.

Blunt wins Whip post

Rep. Roy Blunt, R-Missouri, won re-election as House Minority Whip. The count was 147 to 57 over Rep. John Shadegg of Arizona.

Here's the congressman's statement:

WASHINGTON—Congressman Roy Blunt (Mo.) today issued the following statement following his election to serve as House Republican Whip for the 110th Congress:

“For twelve years, the Democrats have gotten away without leading, without offering an agenda, and without saying what they’re actually for. Now they will be forced to govern.

“Under this Republican leadership, the job of the Minority Whip will no longer be to go to the House floor every day and lose. Instead, each time we hold our team together and force the Democrats to vote like Democrats, we’ll be taking one more step toward recapturing our majority in 2008.

“One-hundred-forty-nine Democrats demonstrated yesterday that they are willing to buck Nancy Pelosi. We’ll work each day to give those Democrats a viable alternative to her liberal, San Francisco agenda.

“John Shadegg ran a good race, and I look forward to working with him in the 110th Congress to advance the reform agenda that he articulated so well throughout this campaign. As a party, we learned some hard lessons last week. But our ideas didn’t lose -- we did. Today begins the rebirth of House Republicans’ common sense agenda with a leadership team that is more unified than ever, ready to regain the trust of the American people, and ready to restore faith in our ideals.

“John Boehner is a good friend, and he and I will continue working hard with all of the leaders elected today to advance an agenda aimed at limited government, personal responsibility, and economic and national security.”

Thursday, November 16, 2006

Too Early to Narrow It to Six?

True or false.

Seven-hundred and eighteen days before the 2008 presidential election, it is safe to say that the next President of the United States will be one of the following six people.

Hillary Clinton
John Edwards
Rudy Giuliani
John McCain
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney

For you partisan savages waiting to pounce (and you know who you are), they are listed in alphabetic order.

So again, true or false? And then, (and this is the tough part), why?

It's Hoyer Over Murtha

From the Associated Press:

WASHINGTON - House Democrats on Thursday chose Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer to be House majority leader over Rep. John Murtha, the choice of Rep. Nancy Pelosi, in line to become speaker.

Hoyer was elected on a vote of 149-86.

The balloting marked a personal triumph for him, but also a snub to Pelosi, moments after the rank and file selected her unanimously to become speaker when the House convenes in January.

Dems Vote on Leader Today: Hoyer vs. Murtha

House Democrats will elect their Majority Leader today.

The next Speaker of the House will be Nancy Pelosi. But the real test of her leadership will be if Rep. Jack Murtha becomes her Majority Leader. Pelosi has endorsed the Iraq war critic Murtha as her number two. But Rep. Steny Hoyer stands in the way. Missouri's Ike Skelton is with Hoyer. Hoyer seemed to be the favorite going in, but Murtha now claims he has the votes to win. One is bluffing.

We'll know who at high noon.

Skelton Grills War Leaders on Iraq

Rep. Ike Skelton indicated he would not relent in opposing President Bush's Iraq policies and signaled in questioning Wednesday he may even turn up the heat.

The Associated Press blasts:

Michigan Sen. Carl Levin and Missouri Rep. Ike Skelton, in the first hearings on Iraq since Democrats regained power in last week's elections, said the Bush administration had bungled the war and the U.S. soon should begin to pull out troops.

This from Reuters:

Rep Ike Skelton, the Missouri Democrat likely to lead the House Armed Services Committee, pressed Gen. Abizaid and David Satterfield, senior adviser to the secretary of state and coordinator for Iraq, on security problems in Iraq.

Skelton asked Satterfield whether the United States was winning the hearts and minds of the Iraqi people.

"No, we are not," Satterfield responded.

Skelton asked Abizaid whether he could go to downtown Baghdad and have a cup of tea without an armed escort.

The general responded: "No, I wouldn't advise it and I think that's the litmus test, isn't it, congressman?"

Other statements from Skelton:

"It's hard to find reason for optimism in Iraq today," said Rep. Ike Skelton, D-Mo.

"The administration must look carefully at our objectives in Iraq: whether they are achievable, by what means and whether they are worth the cost in money, lives and military readiness," he said.

Still, above all, the top U.S. commander in the Middle East warned Congress Wednesday against setting a timetable for withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq, rejecting the arguments of resurgent Democrats who are pressing President Bush to start pulling out.

Can't Get Enough of Roy . . .

The Hotline has more on what Rep. Roy Blunt is saying about his Minority Whip race and Speaker to be Nancy Pelosi.

Rep. Roy Blunt (R-MO), on the minority whip's race: "Many Democrats that were elected on Tuesday ran as Republicans, essentially, at home. They just said they were better than the Republican they were running against. The right kind of whip operation won't allow that to happen. When you look at any criticisms of leadership in the last few years, I don't think there's ever been one of how the majority whip's operation ran."

On reports he should step down and let Eric Cantor take the job: "I don't know about that. I know he's helping me win. He's running my campaign. He's a great friend of mine. I'm glad I brought him into the whip team as my deputy. I think Eric Cantor is going to be the whip in the House someday, maybe the speaker of the House someday. But right now we're working together to get this job done."

Asked if he'll be able to work with Pelosi: "We'll see" ("Situation Room," CNN, 11/14).

Chapman: Blunt's Race Is Close

And you thought the elections were over.

How wrong you were. Snap out of your post-election hangover. Grab two Tylenol and some drive thru from Steak 'N Shake, and get ready for a House Republican Leadership election that could alter Rep. Roy Blunt's influence in Washington and future in Southwest Missouri.

It all goes down Friday morning.

Tim Chapman from Townhall.com writes that Blunt's campaign to retain his Whip post is increasingly close.

"According to Hill sources, the contest for Minority Whip is very close. Current Majority Whip Roy Blunt is being pushed to the brink by former RSC Chairman John Shadegg. The Blunt-Shadegg race is in many ways a rematch of the Majority Leader race 10 months ago in which Shadegg ultimately bowed out but wounded Blunt sufficiently to allow Boehner to assume leadership."

Could Blunt Really Lose Twice in One Year?

Conservative columnist Bob Novak opines on Rep. Roy Blunt's leadership chances in Human Events.

The price of darkness on Blunt in his bid for Minority Whip:

"Rep. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), the incumbent Republican whip, may become the victim of Boehner's success. Someone may have to pay for what happened in 2005-2006, and if it isn't Boehner, it will be Blunt. Many Republicans on Capitol Hill -- including conservatives who are supporting him -- express unease over the ability of Rep. John Shadegg (R-Ariz.) to do the whip job, but no one wants Blunt back again. Rep. Eric Cantor (R-Va.) would probably allay the fears of both sides, but he refuses to turn against Blunt, his patron and mentor in the House, and Blunt is unlikely to drop out. He doesn't seem to accept his losing the majority leader race earlier in the year as a repudiation of his way of doing business."

Novak is known for being plugged-in and may be right, but he also predicted Sen. Talent would beat Claire McCaskill.

If Blunt is beaten for leadership posts twice in the same year, what will that mean for his future?

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

EXCLUSIVE: Daycare Center Closes Because of Late State Payments

Some low income families are losing their child care center, and an error by the state may be to blame, according to a KY3 News exclusive report.

The owner of a northside Springfield daycare center says it will close its doors this week because of delayed payments from the state. Missouri officials call it a simple mistake, but some childcare workers are calling it a bigger problem.

80 percent of the families served by The Lala Bye Learning Center qualify for state funding.
So when the payments stopped last spring, it put the entire operation in a hole, according to owner Delilah Mays.

"This hurts me, this hurts me," says Mays of her decision to close Lala Bye Learning Center on East Divison Street. "This was a very hard decision for me to make."

She says she can no longer trust the state to pay her on time for the child care she provides.

"It's just, ridiculous, it's ridiculous," says Mays. "When you have payments that are withheld from you, that really hurts."

Mays says the state didn't reimburse her for three months of summer care - in May, June or July - until this fall. Mays estimates the total amount of delayed money was around $6,000.

"Why does the payment have to take so long? You shouldn't have to wait 60 to 90 days to get a payment," Mays says.

The Department of Social Services acknowledges the error. "There had been payments that were delayed, but they were made up in September. We had a worker that didn't do their job in this situation. But this is an aberration. It is not the norm," says spokeswoman Celesta Hartgraves. "We had a worker that didn't provide timely customer service. We are committed to working with this provider and making sure they get timely reimbursements," adds Hartgraves.

But Mays says her decision to close has been made.

"It hurt bad. It cost me to not be able to meet some of my operating expenses," says Mays. "You got payroll that's due every two weeks, you got supplies, you got utility bills, your phones. Things don't stop just because they make a mistake."

The daycare's closing will hurt lower-income parents like Amy Mcevans, who had to rush their children into other programs that are more expensive.

"It's costing a lot of people because with Delilah not being able to get paid like she should, it's hurting us parents because we have to pay more for daycare," says Mcevans.

"I couldn't believe it, because it was right around the corner. It was close, it was convenient," she adds. "I can't afford to call in, to stay home with him," she says referring to her son Dillon.

"It's tough for them and really tough for me," adds Mays.

While the state calls this an isolated mistake, Mays and other childcare workers tell KY3 News that timely payments to daycare centers have been a continuous bureaucratic problem in Jefferson City. They say it is a process that needs to be reformed.

"I just feel like until things are changed with the state, with the steps and processes they go through, to get daycare providers paid, I feel like I'm always going to be faced with these issues," Mays says.

Daycare workers say the main problems are that authorizations for payments are changed often without much notice and that there are too many people in Jefferson City that must sign off on a payment. Mays says reducing the red tape would help as well as making the pay period more frequent to twice a month, instead of just once.

Springfield State Senator Norma Champion was contacted for comment for this story but did not return calls. An Champion aide called back, and says as far as he knows, this mistake was an isolated incident.

"From what we understand that center takes care of 53 kids and the mistake involved four kids, so I can't imagine that would put her out of business," says the Champion aide. But he promised to look into the matter further to see if there was a more widespread problem.

Another person close to the daycare system contacted by KY3 today says the problem is bigger than this one instance.

"This one was probably just a mistake, but there have been lots of other things happening that make the system not work," the source says.

"Authorization of payments has been a real problem. The state will authorize a family for service, and the provider will assume to give that family care and then halfway through the period, the state just stops authorization. Unless you check every family every day, there is no way to know. And then providers won't be reimbursed for care," the source says.

The daycare source says it is rare that a provider gets paid in full every month, and that the discrepancy hurts daycare businesses.

"This system is not set up to protect child care providers. It's unpredictable and sloppy, and it needs to be reformed," she says.

Blunt on why Republicans lost

Rep. Roy Blunt spoke with the Heritage Foundation last week on why Republicans lost. His bottom line: the party drifted away from its conservative core values.

Read more about it in the Post-Dispatch. Or watch it in four parts on YouTube:

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

McCaskill Gets A Seat on Armed Services

Rep. Ike Skelton won't be the only Missouri lawmaker to sit on a commitee that oversees the military.

Senator-elect Claire McCaskill was tapped today to serve on the Senate Armed Service Committee, according to the Associated Press.

The newly elected Missouri Democrat also will have a seat on the Senate committees on commerce; homeland security and government affairs; aging; and Indian affairs.

Committee assignments announced Tuesday by incoming Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., are subject to final negotiations with Republican leadership but are not expected to change.

Poll: Dems Don't Have A Plan For Iraq; Skelton Notes Agreement on Redeployment

Nearly three out of five Americans say the Democratic party does not have a plan to deal with the war, according to a new AP-Ipsos poll.

From the Associated Press:

"In the aftermath of an anti-Republican wave, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll showed lingering uncertainty about the country's direction and the ability of Democrats and President Bush to work together. Underscoring the country's political divisions, Democrats expressed more confidence and optimism than Republicans."

"The poll was conducted Nov. 10-12 as the public adjusted to Washington's new division of labor, with President Bush in the White House and Democrats holding the reins of Congress for the first time in 12 years."

Also mentioned in the piece is Missouri's Ike Skelton, who will soon take over the reigns of the House Armed Services Committee.

"Everyone agrees that we're going to have to begin redeployment," Rep. Ike Skelton, D-Mo., said of the Democratic position. Skelton has proposed withdrawing a U.S. brigade for every three Iraqi combat brigades rated fully capable. Skelton opposes setting a timetable for withdrawal but said at least one U.S. battalion or brigade should pull out promptly.

"It should send a clear message to the Iraqi government, the Iraqi people and the American people that we're not there to stay," he said.

Blunt Says Bush Should've Dumped Rummy Earlier

Rep. Roy Blunt told CNN today that President Bush should have fired Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld before the election.

"I think if the president was going to make that change, it would have been helpful to make it earlier. He's a good friend of mine. I know it's a hard job to be president. You have got a lot of decisions you're trying to make all the time," Blunt told CNN's Wolf Blitzer.

"I think it would have been helpful to make this one earlier because all of our candidates then would have been able to say with more certainty and people would have believed with more certainty that we're looking constantly at how we can improve. We're reviewing these policies. We're not stuck in the status quo in any way in Iraq. And that decision is proof of that. Unfortunately we didn't have that to say, but you know it's a tough job," Blunt added.

Blunt said he let his views be known to the White House.

"I've expressed that concern and the irritation that the members would have and I think they expected that. Now you'll have to ask them more than that," Blunt said.

Newly Elected Montee Questions MOHELA Deal

Newly elected Democratic Auditor Susan Montee is raising questions about a severance package paid to the dismissed director of Missouri's Higher Education Loan Authority (MoHELA).

Some say this is Montee's first shot across the bow to Governor Matt Blunt and his plan to sell off some of MoHELA's assets to pay for capital improvements.

Montee said the $830,000 severance package being paid to outgoing director Michael Cummins through next October, "illustrates the need for additional oversight of quasi-governmental boards, whose missions often relate to economic development and educational programming."

"Should Missouri be providing $830,000 golden parachutes to employees we fire?" Montee asked.

As further examples of boards and commissions that control millions of dollars with little oversight, Montee cited the Missouri Technology Corporation and the Missouri Development Finance Board.

"These agencies, whose missions are to further educational and economic development opportunities, receive little or no review by the legislative branch of government," Montee continued, "yet they spend millions of taxpayer and student loan dollars every year. Helping Missourians understand what is happening in situations like this is exactly why I ran for State Auditor."

Survey: McCaskill got boost from single women

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - A survey says Democrat Claire McCaskill got a big boost from single women who went to the polls in Missouri last week.

A 12-state survey found that 61% of the 400,000 single women who voted in the Missouri Senate race picked McCaskill over Republican incumbent Jim Talent. That accounts for a 100,000 vote edge for McCaskill in a race she won by fewer than 50,000.

About 19% of those who voted in Missouri last week were single women. 45% of married women and 41% of married men voted for McCaskill. The poll also found that 57% of unmarried men voted for McCaskill.

The survey was done by the voter-education project Women's Voices, Women Vote. The Missouri numbers were based on exit polls conducted of 2,400.

Read the national survey results.

Talent: Greene County Key To Loss

Sen. Jim Talent says his underpeformance in Greene County last Tuesday helped lead to the loss of his U.S. Senate seat to Claire McCaskill.

Talent made the comments to the Kansas City Star's Matt Stearns in a piece that gives more insight into what went wrong for Missouri's junior Senator one week ago today.

Key graph:

"There were two main places our targets were off … Greene County and St. Charles,” he said.

In southwest Missouri’s Greene County, where President Bush campaigned for Talent four days before the election in an effort to rally Republican voters, Talent won less than 54 percent of the vote. In 2002, he won closer to 60 percent of the vote.

And in vote-rich St. Charles, Talent won less than 54 percent, compared with 58 percent four years ago.

“In Missouri, you can’t just give away 3 to 5 percent of the vote and expect to win,” he said.

Talent also told Stearns the decision to go negative against McCaskill was his own call that "helped keep the race close."

Without the negative ads focusing on McCaskill, the loss might have been worse, Talent said.

Weekly Standard: Boehner Win Hurts Blunt

If House Republicans re-elect Ohio Rep. John Boehner as leader of their caucus, Rep. Roy Blunt is less likely to be re-elected party whip, according to The Weekly Standard.

Both Boehner and Blunt are running to hold their current positions, but both also face serious challenges.

Indiana Rep. Mike Pence is challenging Boehner for Minority Leader. Arizona Rep. John Shadegg wants Blunt's position as Minority Whip.

The conservative Weekly Standard sees trouble for at least one of the G.O.P.'s top leaders, and it could well be Blunt.

"If Boehner looks poised to win the leader's race, many feel that will dampen Roy Blunt's chances of staying on as GOP whip. The reason is simple: House Republicans probably want at least one fresh face in their two most senior posts. Last winter Blunt came under criticism for being too pork-friendly. Like Boehner and Pence, he and John Shadegg have broadly similar voting records. But unlike Boehner, Blunt was the whip under Tom DeLay, which makes it easy for Blunt's opponents to cast him as symbolic of the Old Guard. Democrats are sure to use the Abramoff cudgel against any Republican with close links to DeLay," writes Duncan Currie in the latest issue.

"As we go to press on Friday, November 10, rumors are floating around to the effect that if Blunt thought he might lose, he would drop out and make room for Chief Deputy Whip Eric Cantor of Virginia. Some argue that Cantor has a better shot than Blunt at beating Shadegg. This is just speculation, of course. We'll know more in the days prior to the vote scheduled for November 17."

Monday, November 13, 2006

Jim Talent, No Regrets

Jim Talent has no regrets.

If only he could run in a different year.

The A.P.'s Sam Hananel scores the first big in-depth interview with Sen. Jim Talent after his loss to Claire McCaskill.

It's worth reading the entire piece, but if you don't want to, here's the summary:

*Talent believes the national trend was just too much for him to overcome. He says there was nothing to do differently.

*Talent says there is no way to know whether firing Secretary of Defense Don Rumsfeld before the election would have helped his prospects.

*On election night, Talent could tell things weren't going well early when he saw enough places where he was finishing 3 to 5 percent behind of where he wanted to be.

*Talent believes attacking McCaskill and her husband on their income taxes helped keep the race close. No regrets there.

*Talent is not sure what he'll do next. For now, he's helping staffers get new positions and plans to aid McCaskill as she makes the transition. "I certainly wish her well," he says.

Late-Breaking Voters Went To McCaskill

Did President Bush's visit to Missouri hurt Senator Talent in the final days of the campaign?

Chuck Todd of The Hotline, which now partners with MSNBC, says Bush may have been the deciding factor that killed Republican momentum in the final days.

According to Todd:

"One Republican consultant is convinced that Bush's last-minute visit to Missouri on behalf of ousted GOP Sen. Jim Talent did the incumbent in. According to the network exit polls, Democrat Claire McCaskill crushed Talent among those late-breaking voters who decided in the final three days (a full 11 percent of the electorate)."

McCaskill Skips Freshman Orientation

Incoming U.S. House and U.S. Senate members were in Washington today for freshman orientation . . . minus Missouri's Claire McCaskill.

More than 50 incoming House freshmen spent the day in meetings focused not on big legislative items or the Iraq war but rather on office logistics — everything from budgets to security to ethics, according to this Associated Press report.

"In the Senate, a 10-person freshman class of eight Democrats, one Republican and Democratic-leaning Independent Bernard Sanders of Vermont also began orientation."

"Tester later appeared with his fellow Democratic freshmen — minus Missouri's Claire McCaskill, who is on a post-election vacation with her husband. They met with incoming Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., who led the Senate Democrats' campaign effort and took some ribbing on how tough their individual races had been."

McCaskill always promised her family win or lose, she would spend some downtime with her family after the election. Meanwhile, back in St. Louis, a transition team is working on hiring Senate staff.

The location of McCaskill's vacation? So far, it's undisclosed.

Giuliani prepares for White House run

Former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani is preparing for a White House run.

Giuliani, who stumped for Jim Talent the weekend before the election, won a straw poll among GOP bloggers last month.

We haven't found a campaign web site here, but Solutions America was his effort to get Republicans elected this fall.

Report: Blame Illegal Immigration on Abortion

JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) - A new report from a Republican-led Missouri House committee suggests abortion is partly to blame forillegal immigration. The report says 30 years of legal abortion has led to a shortage of American workers -- thus enticing illegal immigrants looking for jobs. It also blames a rise in illegal immigration on, quote,"liberal social welfare policies" that have created "a lack of incentive" for Americans to work. The statements were included in the report of the Special Committee on Immigration Reform by Chairman Ed Emery of Lamar. All ten Republican committee members signed the report. But all six Democratic members have refused to sign it. SomeDemocrats are calling the abortion and welfare assertions"ridiculous" and "delusional."

Here's more from the Associated Press.

Sunday, November 12, 2006

RedState.com: Pick Shadegg Over Blunt

The influential conservative blog Redstate.com is endorsing Arizona Rep. John Shadegg for Minority Whip over Rep. Roy Blunt when Republicans hold leadership elections for the new session.

From Redstate.com:

"The GOP must re-dedicate itself to first principles. Without a White House governing with conservative principles first, the GOP has been rudderless. The House Republicans must decisively reject the idea of "big government conservatism" and set about, again, reducing the burdens of government on the people. They can start by making Mike Pence the leader of the House GOP and John Shadegg the Whip."

"While we like and respect Congressmen Blunt, Boehner, and Cantor, we are committed to fighting for Representatives Pence and Shadegg -- we are conservative first, we recognize that the Republican base is too, and we think it is time to pick leaders who will be fighters in the minority by having proven their commitment to the cause while in the majority."

"Today we would like to make it explicitly clear and reiterate that while we respect Representatives Blunt, Boehner, and Cantor, we believe a fresh start is in order. We also believe there is no better place to turn than the Guardians of the Reagan Legacy and the 1994 Conservative Revolution."

Shadegg is a veteran of the revolutionary class of 1994 and known around the Hill as a true conservative. Redstate.com calls Shadegg "tough as nails."

Blunt announced his candidacy for Minority Leader the day after the election.

"Yesterday's election results were a directive from the American people for Republicans to act like Republicans again," said Blunt in a release. "We must seize this opportunity to reaffirm our conservative principles, return to Republican unity, and restore faith in the American people in our agenda and ability to tackle the tough issues on their behalf. The Whip will be an integral part of the effort to secure a Republican majority in 2008, and I look forward to fighting that daily fight on behalf of the conservative cause and the American people."

Redstate.com is also endorsing Rep. Mike Pence for Minority Leader.

Skelton Wants to Bring Back Iraq Panel

Congressional Democrats are looking to reinstate a federal panel designed to oversee the reconstruction of Iraq.

Rep. Ike Skelton, who is poised to take over as chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, will introduce the bill.

The announcement comes in today's New York Times. The aim of the Democratic legislation is to restore power of a federal agency in charge of finding and getting rid of waste and corruption in Iraq, regarding war profiteering and financial fraud.

The agency is called the Office of the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction.

Republicans had set a date for the agency to be terminated. But Skelton has said oversight will be an important part of his new role.

According to the Times, Skelton will also try to resurrect a subcommittee on oversight and investigations that was scrapped by Republicans to investigate military spending.

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Skelton Supports Hoyer in Leadership Bid

Rep. Ike Skelton will support Rep. Steny H. Hoyer of Maryland as the new House Majority Leader when Democrats take over in January.

Rep. Hoyer, currently the number two Democrat in the House caucus, faces a tough challenge from anti-war Rep. John Murtha of Pennsylvania for the Majority Leader post.

From the Washington Times:

Steny has an unwavering commitment to core Democratic principles," a group of top Democrats wrote in a letter to colleagues on Mr. Hoyer's behalf. "There simply is no question that Steny is deeply committed to our Party's efforts on civil and human rights, our support for working men and women, our commitment to education and health care, and our fight to protect the environment - to name a few."

The letter was signed by Democratic Reps. Barney Frank of Massachusetts, John D. Dingell of Michigan, John Lewis of Georgia, Henry A. Waxman of California and Ike Skelton of Missouri, among others.

Skelton is slated to become the chairman of the influential House Armed Services Committee in January.

Friday, November 10, 2006

McCaskill Would Probably Vote to Confirm Bolton; Early Break With Party

Senator-elect Claire McCaskill says the United States Senate should probably vote to confirm the nomination of John Bolton to the United Nations.

McCaskill made the comments on Thursday's Hardball with Chris Matthews.

"You know, I haven`t had a chance it review all of Mr. Bolton`s record. But, you know, I am a believer that the president has certain picks that he is entitled to. As long as I`m convinced that they are serious about beginning work on diplomacy. Obviously that has been kind of AWOL in this administration, that emphasis on building alliances. Now is the time to remain committed to the United Nations. Not to withdraw. I would want to get those assurances from Mr. Bolton. And if he could give those assurances than I would probably be deferential to the president on this pick," McCaskill said to Matthews.

But Democrats have said they are primed to block Bolton's continued nomination.

This from Reuters:

John Bolton's troubled nomination as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations is "going nowhere," a key Democratic senator said on Wednesday after Democrats scored big in mid-term elections. Sen. Joseph Biden of Delaware is expected to chair the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in January.

Ousted lame-duck Republican Sen. Lincoln Chafee also said he'd join Democrats in helping block Bolton.

If Bolton is blocked in committee as expected, McCaskill will probably never have to actually cast a vote on the embattled nominee.

Ugly Races: Dake Goes Down, Barnitz Survives

The tale of two rural, conservative, incumbent Democrats in the Ozarks had different endings this election season.

Rep. Charlie Dake of the #132nd district was ousted by Republican Don Ruzicka 52-48%.
Ruzicka won by 577 votes. The Democrats complained of dirty campaign tactics by Republicans to win the Lawrence County seat. Republicans said Dake wasn't anti-abortion enough, even though Dake has said he's pro-life and opposed to embryonic stem cell research.

"The Missouri Republican Party has attacked Charles Dake with misleading information and used Project Vote Smart's name to give these accusations credibilityy," a Dake press release claimed the day before the election. "By using the Project's name to give credibility to these attacks, the Missouri Republican Party is cheating the public out of their need for trusted, abundant, accurate, factual information."

Up in District #16, in the Rolla area, the fight for the State Senate seat also seemed to get pretty ugly. Sen. Frank Barnitz survived a strong challenge from Republican Susie Snyders. Barnitz beat Snyders 52-48%, a difference of 2,835 votes.

"My opponent littered this campaign with deceitful messages and negative advertisements. I am especially proud of my supporters for not lowering to that level when the temptation was so great. I believe that says more about the character of the people of this district and my supporters than a campaign ever could," Barnitz said in a statement following Snyders concession.

Looking at recent history, it seems that Senate District #16 and House District #132 are the two most competitive legislative seats in the Ozarks. Republicans always claimed that Dake's special election win was a fluke due to low voter turnout. But it will be interesting to watch if Democrats try to re-target that district again. Barnitz would seem to be safer next time around, unless the Republicans field a stronger, more articulate candidate. Politicos on both sides have said Snyders public speaking gaffes (captured on YouTube) probably hurt her with small town voters from both parties.

Either way, while I focused much of my attention on Springfield legislative races this cycle, I'm now sitting here thinking I should've been up in Rolla and out in Lawrence County more.

Decision 2006: The Polls Were Right

A lot of people, including many political journalists, don't like polls. Some say there isn't any point in taking a poll three months from election day. "Who cares? Election day is the only poll that matters!," said one of my colleagues recently.

Others just don't trust polls, because many times they don't turn out to be right. Polls are not an exact science, but in my opinion, they are the best weapon we have in determining where a race stands.

I love polls, and I'm not ashamed to say it. I love them because I'm a political junkie, but also because it tells us what people are thinking at a certain point in time. It tells us whether we should be paying more attention to a certain race. Imagine if we covered the Talent-McCaskill race without any poll. How would we know to give it the attention it deserves? Do we just assume it will be close because every statewide Missouri race turns out that way? My rule is that you use polls cautiously and skeptically. Don't put too much weight on any given one. But put them all together and see what type of trend line you get. Of course, they aren't always right. But this year, they were pretty darn good.

About two weeks before the election, many of the polls showed Sen. Talent leading narrowly. Then a week before the election, the polls shifted and gave McCaskill a slight lead. According to the polls, McCaskill was gaining some slight momentum going into the last week. The final Gallup poll taken before election day gave McCaskill a 4% lead going into election day. She won by about 3%. Many polls were giving the Libertarian candidate about 2% of the vote. He ended up getting 2.2%. I checked many of the other national polls in U.S. Senate races across the country, and many turned out to reflect accurate election results.

The reason I point this out is because we hear so often, "Don't believe the polls! They're wrong." Poll bashing is in. Many times it is deserved. Zogby infamously predicted John Kerry would be President. Pollsters shouldn't predict. They should let their data speak for itself. While other times, polls deserve to be bashed, this year, they deserve to be praised.

So a tip of the hat to the pollsters.

The polls were right, and they proved to be a helpful guide, providing helpful snapshots of public opinion along the way.

Thursday, November 09, 2006

Back From St. Louis

Wow.

What an election.

Claire McCaskill shocked many in the Show-Me State, becoming Missouri's first elected female U.S. Senator. Stem cells divided Republicans while voters united around a minimum wage hike. Still in southwest Missouri, even organized, promising Democrats suffered lop-sided legislative losses to Republicans.

I'm just back from my 4-day trip to St. Louis, covering our spectacular U.S. Senate race. There is so much to say. How some of the political pros knew early McCaskill was having a good night. How privately, many Republicans were agonizing about Sandra Thomas' candidacy for auditor. How much a hands-on force McCaskill was in her own campaign, knowing precisely how many votes she needed in each county. There are too many great election night stories and anecdotes to share. But first I must catch up on some Zzzzzs.

Still, I wanted to pose this to you: What's the most important thing you learned from this election? It can be about any issue, topic or candidate on the 2006 ballot. But try to keep the partisan stuff out of it. Call it an open thread. Tell me something that stood out, that surprised you, that taught you something about Missouri or southwest Missouri.

After all, that's what elections are about.

Tuesday, November 07, 2006

8:51 - AP calls Blunt a winner

SPRINGFIELD, Mo. (AP) - Roy Blunt is re-elected to his U-S Houseseat in southwest Missouri. Blunt defeated Democrat Jack Truman in Missouri's SeventhDistrict. Blunt holds a top leadership post as House majority whip.

9:46 pm - Talent ahead.. key areas not counted yet

As of this writing, Talent enjoys a nice lead in the U.S. Senate Race. That's with about a third of the precincts in.

BUT the current totals do not include ANY votes from St. Louis city, Kansas City, Jackson County or St. Louis County.

8:50 - More on the Joplin voting problems

The Joplin Globe has more on the ballot problems there.

The ballots that were given to voters were already marked for Kelly Stephens, a candidate for chairman of the Jasper County Emergency Services Board, according to Calvin Churchwell.

8:45 - Emerson wins re-election

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - Republican incumbent Jo Ann Emerson isre-elected to her U-S House seat in southeast Missouri. Emerson beat Democrat Veronica Hambacker in the Eighth Districtrace. The 56-year-old Emerson was first elected in 1996, five monthsafter the death of her first husband, longtime Congressman BillEmerson. Hambacker is a political newcomer. She's a retired Englishteacher who served as president of the Missouri State TeachersAssociation and eight years as head of the state's Public SchoolRetirement program.

8:00 p.m. - More on the exit poll

Key findings from an exit poll of voters in Missouri's general
election:
STEM CELLS: White voters describing themselves as born-again
Christians opposed Amendment 2, Missouri's embryonic stem cell
initiative, by a wide margin. White voters who do not call
themselves born-again Christians overwhelmingly supported the
amendment.
SENATE-LOCATION: People living in Missouri's urban areas favored
Democrat Claire McCaskill; those living in small towns and rural
areas sided with Republican Sen. Jim Talent. The suburbs of Kansas
City and St. Louis were nearly evenly split.
SENATE DECISION: About one-third of people said they made up
their minds in the last month, and the majority of those voted for
McCaskill.
BUSH PERFORMANCE-SENATE: Nine in 10 Missourians who strongly
approved of President Bush's job performance supported Talent. Nine
in 10 respondents who strongly disapproved of the president's
performance supported McCaskill.
MINIMUM WAGE AND SENATE: Opponents of Proposition B, which would
raise Missouri's minimum wage to $6.50 from $5.15, were more likely
to support Talent, while supporters were more likely to vote for
McCaskill.
PARTY AFFILIATION: Self-described independents made up about a
quarter of all voters.
WAR IN IRAQ: A slight majority of Missourians disapproved of the
war in Iraq. Supporters favored Talent and opponents favored
McCaskill.
---
By Jim Salter, Associated Press Writer
Exit poll conducted for The Associated Press and television
networks by Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International among
1,623 voters as they left 50 randomly selected precincts around
Missouri on Tuesday. Margin of sampling error plus or minus 4
percentage points for the overall sample, larger for subgroups.

8:00 pm - Stem Cell opposition optimistic

CHESTERFIELD, Mo. (AP) - The director of Missourians Against
Human Cloning says she remains optimistic that polling even on
Amendment Two would say a lot.
The organization opposed to embryonic stem cell research was
outspent by $27 million.
At an election watch event in the St. Louis suburb of
Chesterfield tonight, Jaci Winship says volunteers worked
tirelessly and doctors and scientists worked around the state.
Supporters of the amendment raised nearly ten times more money.

7:39 p.m. -- Exit polls out

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - Exit polls show Missourians are more
positive about President Bush's job performance and the merits of
the war in Iraq than the nation as a whole.
But Associated Press exit polling today also found Missouri
voters still disapprove of both, and that slightly less than half
of those surveyed approved of Bush's performance.
On Iraq, the exit poll indicated a slight majority of
Missourians appeared to disapprove of the war. Six in ten voters
across the nation disapprove.
Polling suggested the U.S. Senate race in Missouri was being
decided in the suburbs of St. Louis and Kansas City, where the
candidates were nearly evenly split. Republican incumbent Jim
Talent ran strongest in Missouri's small towns and rural areas.
Democrat Claire McCaskill did best in the cities.
The poll of 1,623 voters was conducted for the AP and
television networks by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky
International.
Results were subject to sampling error of plus or minus four
percentage points, higher for subgroups. Nationally, four in ten
respondents approved.

7:38 - AP declares Skelton winner

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - Democrat Ike Skelton is re-elected to a
16th term in the U-S House District in western Missouri.
Skelton -- the dean of the Missouri congressional delegation --
campaigned with yard signs that simply read, "IKE."
He faced 79-year-old Republican nominee Jim Noland for the
fourth straight time. This time, Skelton had something more than
his House seat at stake -- if Democrats regained a House majority,
Skelton stood to be elevated from ranking member to chairman of the
House Armed Services Committee.

7:00 p.m. update: Exit polls and voting issues

7:00 p.m. -- Polls just closed. Exit polls are out and Joplin needs more ballots.


Watch the 7:00 p.m. update now.
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Outsiders helping get out the vote

David Catanese was in St. Louis Monday where volunteers from across the country were helping encourage voters to show up Tuesday. Watch his 10:00 p.m. report.

A headline that will come back to haunt her

Carnahan concerned about confusion at polls
 
 JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) - Missouri Secretary of State Robin
Carnahan is worried about potential voter confusion in today's
elections.
 Carnahan cites an experience of her own as a sign that some poll
workers may wrongly be asking voters for a photo identification.
 Carnahan tells the AP that a worker at the St. Louis Election
Board asked her three times to show a photo ID when she voted
absentee last Friday. A Missouri Supreme Court ruling struck down
the photo requirement.
 The poll worker apparently did not recognize that Carnahan was
Missouri's chief elections official when Carnahan showed a paper
voter card mailed out by the local election authority. The card
does not have a photo but is acceptable ID under Missouri law.
 

Wait your turn, Senator

 CHESTERFIELD, Mo. (AP) - Jim Talent waits nearly an hour to cast
his vote at an elementary school in Chesterfield.
 The incumbent U-S senator said he has no regrets about how he
ran his campaign against Democrat Claire McCaskill. Surveys show
Talent and McCaskill in a statistical dead heat.
 Talent said he's been frustrated with having to run against the
record of others in his party, as voters have expressed displeasure
with President Bush and Republican congressmen. Talent thinks his
record -- not the records of other Republicans -- will matter most
today.

Monday, November 06, 2006

Get the lawyers ready

This is not a good sign of things to come:

JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) - The chief elections official in Missouri says her experience when she went to cast an absentee ballot was "very troubling."

Secretary of State Robin Carnahan says she was asked three times by an election worker to show a photo identification, even though a court ruling has struck down that requirement. Carnahan says the worker said she was instructed to ask for one.

The Missouri Supreme Court last month upheld a lower court's ruling overturning a law that would have required voters to show a photo ID.

Carnahan is a Democrat who has opposed Republican efforts to mandate a photo ID in Missouri. The Republican director of the St. Louis Election Board has assured her that on Election Day voters will not be pressed to present an ID.

It's the turnout, stupid!

Monday night's political notebook includes a piece from the AP on how efforts are now shifting from candidate-specific GOTV efforts to simply GOTV. You can read it in the Kansas City Star.

Dave's 6 pm update

David spent the day with both candidates in St. Louis. Here is his 6:00 p.m. report.

Afternoon politics from the wires

 ST. LOUIS (AP) - Both of Missouri's Senate candidates spent
their final full day of campaigning today urging supporters to get
out and vote.
 Senator Jim Talent told supporters in St. Louis, Columbia and
Independence that he believed he can win the close race if
Republicans will turn out in big numbers.
 In an appearance this morning in Columbia, Talent and fellow
Republicans Senator Kit Bond and Representative Kenny Hulshof all
said it was critical that Republicans keep control of the Senate.
 Bond said when he first won his Senate seat in 1986, polls
predictedt Bush whenever possible. She says Talent doesn't have the
right priorities and spends way too much time being President
Bush's best friend.
 
 JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) - Missourians do NOT have to show a
photo identification to vote tomorrow. Secretary of State Robin
Carnahan says she's concerned because she was asked for one when
she cast an absentee ballot in St. Louis.
 Carnahan calls her experience troubling and is concerned that
poll workers in other parts of the state might also be confused.
 Missouri enacted a law earlier this year that would have
required voters to show a government-issued photo I-D. But the
Missouri Supreme Court struck down the requirement as an
unconstitutional infringement on the right to vote.
 Carnahan says a photo I-D is one option for voters. But she says
voters also can verify their identity with documents like a utility
bill, bank statement or paycheck.

UMSL prof weighs in on race

UM-St. Louis professor Dave Robertson has been a favorite of C-SPAN during the U.S. Senate race. He weighed in Monday morning.
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Dave will be filing reports by phone over the next two days. Here's his first while on the road with Sen. Talent.

Monday morning's political stuff

Senator Jim Talent will be putting in the miles Monday. He'll be in Columbia at lunch time touring with Sen. Kit Bond and auditor candidate Sandra Thomas. Monday afternoon, they're in Independence and finish the day in Springfield at a 4:00 p.m. rally at the GOP headquarters.

Claire McCaskill, fresh off her Fox News Sunday appearance and the C-SPAN televised rally with Barack Obama , will be in St. Louis and Kansas City Monday. Tuesday, she's all over the place but will be in Springfield at 2:00 p.m. at Delaware Elementary school.

Sunday, November 05, 2006

This Is It

I've had a heck of a time covering Campaign 2006 in the Show-Me State. I've learned so much and been fascinated by the candidates, the political players and the issues at stake. It's been a great ride.

In a few hours, I will head to St. Louis for the next three days to cover the last 24-hours before election day, election day itself and the aftermath Wednesday. There's really not much left to be said that hasn't been said already about what is at stake. The eyes of the nation will be on Missouri Tuesday night, and anyone who claims to really know who is going to win this thing is either lying or guessing. So I leave you with this . . .

Here are 10 key questions to Decision 2006: (in no particular order)

1) Will Claire McCaskill hit 40% in Greene County?

2) Which way will absentee ballots break?

3) Do independents turnout in higher amounts compared to previous midterm elections?

4) Can the legendary Republican Get Out the Vote effort top its 2002 turnout for Sen. Talent?

5) Will a majority of moderate Republicans who support the stem cell initiative, also cast a vote for Jim Talent?

6) What time will a U.S. Senate candidate concede?

7) Will St. Louis election officials be forced to hold open polling stations later because of long lines?

8) Will Democrats pick up legislative seats in Greene County, and if so, how many?

9) Do Democrats win the Kansas City and St. Louis suburbs?

10) Are any of the election results/ballot initiatives immediately challenged by lawyers?

I will begin live coverage in St. Louis tomorrow evening on KY3 News. Be sure to stay with KY3 News through election night for live coverage and cut-ins, as well as our special 1-hour long newscast at 10 p.m. Tuesday night. I will be covering Sen. Jim Talent Tuesday night, my colleague Cara Connelly will be covering Claire McCaskill. I will then cover the winner (if there is one declared) on Wednesday from St. Louis.

Unless I figure out a way to get internet access in St. Louis, this will be my last blog post until it is all over.

Be sure to come back to the KY3 Political Blog for a full wrap-up and analysis of all that goes down Tuesday and Wednesday.

I hope you've enjoyed this as much as I have.

This is it. Tuesday, or bust!