Saturday, June 30, 2007

Show Me The Money!


2nd Quarter Presidential fundraising is almost complete.

The official numbers will trickle out over the next hours and days.

But why wait? The numbers are leaking out here and there. Campaign aides are dutifully lowering expectations. But here's what's being projected by the chattering class . . .

THE DEMS
*Hillary Clinton -
The campaign has already let supporters know on its blog that Hillary will bring in around $27 million. But if these campaign staffers are doing their job right, she'll haul in more than that. Maybe $30 mil? Now, that's lowering expectations!
*Barack Obama
- Will he outraise Hillary again? And how much is he reserving for the general? Reports are he'll haul in between $25 and $30 million. But watch his donor total. He's already added 140,000 new donors this quarter.
*John Edwards - He pulled in some last minute cash from his wife's tit-for-tat with Ann Coulter on Hardball. But Edwards is expected to lag far behind Hillary and Obama, bringing in between $9 and $10 million. They again, the Edwards camp could be bluffing. Still, his campaign has maintained it doesn't need the big "celebrity money" to compete. The goal is to raise $40 million by time Iowa rolls around.
*
Bill Richardson - The New Mexico Governor has already announced he has raised $7 million.

THE REPUBLICANS
*
Rudy Giuliani - The Giuliani people aren't talking. The best guess I could find comes from The Atlantic Monthly, which projects between $14-$17 million. But either way, expectations will be much higher this quarter because he's the national frontrunner. Key question: How close will he be to Romney's total?
*Mitt Romney - Here's another campaign downplaying expectations big time. Which makes you wonder. Odds are he won't hit the $21 million he raised in round 1. He's loaning money to his campaign and has a high "burn rate" with a paid staff of 200, and all those pretty campaign ads already running in Iowa and New Hampshire. Still, look for him to top the G.O.P. list. Look for Romney to raise between $15-$18 million.
*John McCain - The McCainiacs are saying they will miss their goal. And you've got to believe them. The immigration debacle probably didn't help. The campaign's goal was $10 million, and word is they are having trouble getting there. The political press want to write this poor guy's obit. I'm not ready to count him out yet. Look for around $10 million.
*Fred Thompson - He won't report because this latecomer doesn't have to. But it's fair to say he's still building a base of fundraisers that's probably hurting all the other Republicans in the field.
*Mike Huckabee - A half a mil was all he could manage during the first quarter. Could he hit $2 million or more for quarter 2? You'd think with his band groupies alone?

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