Post-Dispatch Delivers Last Batch of Numbers

FINAL P-D POLL BEFORE THE ELECTION:
Research 2000: 800 voters, Oct 20-23, 3.5% Margin of Error
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JAY NIXON 55%, KENNY HULSHOF 41%
PETER KINDER 49%, SAM PAGE 40%
CHRIS KOSTER 48%, MIKE GIBBONS 42%
ROBIN CARNAHAN 54%, MITCH HUBBARD 41%
BRAD LAGER 46%, CLINT ZWEIFEL 44%

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All the numbers are HERE

Notes/Observations:

• If this poll is anywhere in the ballpark, the question isn't if Hulshof will lose, the question is by how much, and how that could impact the rest of the ticket.
• Virtually unknown G.O.P. candidate for Secretary of State Mitch Hubbard is statistically in a bit better shape against Robin Carnahan than Hulshof is against Nixon.
• Kinder looks to be in the driver-seat against Page (name-I.D. has got to be helping), but take note that 9% remain undecided in the race for Lieutenant Governor. (Plus, Republicans keep cautioning me: "This will be close.") This last week for both of them will matter.
• Mike Gibbons is down 6 points to Chris Koster in the race for Attorney General. That deficit is exactly what it was a month ago. Will the harsh ads both are running cancel each other out, or is Gibbons' tough enough to drive up doubts about Koster and close that gap in the final stretch? (10% are undecided.)
• Lager-Zweifel for Treasurer could be a barnburner. Lager may benefit for those independent-minded Missourians who just want to vote for "some" Republican. Zweifel could be helped by Obama/Nixon coattails.