Thursday, October 09, 2008

Polling Punches

DEMS CHALLENGE KINDER ON POLL:
PUT UP OR ZIP IT!
HOW CLOSE IS THE RACE FOR LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR?
PAGE 38%, KINDER 37%, UNDECIDED 23%
That's a poll from the Sam Page campaign, conducted by Global Strategy between Sept. 16th -18th of 600 voters. The poll has a margin of error of 4 %.
G.O.P. Operative Close to the Race Says Recent Ad "is not a case of polling trouble, it’s a case of putting the final nails in Page’s campaign coffin."
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Same Republican Says Internal Polling Done 2 Weeks Ago Shows Kinder Up By 9 Statewide, And By 11 in Greene County . . . But the Campaign WON'T release the actual poll for review. Kinder's Paul Sloca pulls back: "The only poll that really matters is the one on November 4th."
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***UPDATED: In a call to the Notebook, Democratic Political Player Tony Wyche, who is not affiliated with the race, notes: "Kinder beat Becky Cook, 60.6% to 36.3% in Greene County in 2004, and barely won the race. If they are only up by 11 in Greene County, they must not be doing real well. Eleven points is not a good place for them to be right now. If his internals only have him up 11% in Greene County, is seems highly, highly unlikely he's up 9% statewide."
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Also from Wyche:
"Recall that when Claire McCaskill beat Jim Talent in 2006, she got 42.6% in Greene County to Talent's 53.6%, a spread of -- that's right, 11%."
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Democrat Close To Page Points To Kinder's Comments To The St. Louis Beacon: "Peter Kinder agrees . . . This is a 1-point race."
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