Rep. Marsh May Run for State Senate, Won't Endorse Blunt, May Vote For Hillary

Who says moderates are boring?

Republican Rep. B.J. Marsh of the #136 legislative district may miss a lot of votes. But what he lacks in attendance, he makes up for in candor.

As Marsh enters the final three weeks of this session, he's sounding off about term limits, Gov. Matt Blunt and Sen. Hillary Clinton.


"Term Limits Are Bad"
"I just think term limits are bad. They give the lobbyists and the Administration more power," Marsh said.

Marsh said he supports a House Joint Resolution that would allow a person to serve up to 16 total years in the General Assembly.

But not necessarily for himself. "I'm not saying for me, I just think it hurts as far as experience is concerned, in the legislative body," Marsh said.

The #136th
Assuming there is no change in term length, Marsh said he's sure the Republican that runs for his seat will be "a lot more conservative" than him. "That's what the Republicans are after. I'm a moderate. Some of the people in the party area a lot more conservative than I am."

Marsh said he's already heard the names being bandied about as possible G.O.P. contenders. Bob Vanaman and Roy Bright are two.

Marsh doesn't really have an opinion on his replacement just yet.

"To be honest, we have a group of Republicans that want a Baptism carwash on every corner, and we have a group of Democrats who want an abortion clinic on every corner. I think we need moderation," Marsh said.

What does he think about the potential Democratic field, and another run by James Owen? "Craig Hosmer was a good Democratic legislator. Democrats need more like him. Republicans need more like me," Marsh said.

2008 Presidential Race
Marsh said he's not ready to endorse a candidate for President yet. "I'm not ready to go with the group we've got yet," Marsh said. But when pressed, he said he liked Rudy Giuliani and John McCain.

What about Fred Thompson?

"I'm not too crazy about him," Marsh said.

Marsh said no matter what he believes Hillary Clinton will ultimately be on the Democratic ticket. "I think Hillary's a good person. Would I vote for her? It depends who the Republicans had up," Marsh said.

2008 Governor's Race
Marsh also said he doesn't know if he'll support Gov. Matt Blunt for re-election, if he decides to run.

"I wouldn't say I would, I wouldn't say I wouldn't," Marsh said. "I don't know what I might do. I do think he's made some mistakes. I've been disappointed with him at times. I'm not sure of it's him or his staff, but I don't have any communication with the Governor's office," Marsh said.

Would he dare vote for Jay Nixon?

"I wouldn't rule out anything. We don't even know who's running yet," Marsh said.

Keeping His Options Open
Marsh said he is considering running for the District 30 State Senate seat as an independent in 2010.

"I'd love to get in that thing with 10 people in it," Marsh said. "If ultraconservatives jump in, I got to keep my options open."

Marsh said he wouldn't rule out running as a Republican either, depending on the make-up of the field.

He said that he's heard Rep. Bob Dixon, former Rep. Mark Wright and Springfield School Board member Debbie Tolliver mentioned as possible candidates for Sen. Norma Champion's seat.

40% Approve of Blunt; 51% Approve of Bond, McCaskill

40% approve of the job Gov. Matt Blunt is doing, according to the new April SurveyUSA tracking poll.

In the Ozarks, his approval rating sits at 42%.

51% approve of both Sens. Kit Bond and Claire McCaskill. 51% give the nod to Bond in the Ozarks, while 50% approve of McCaskill here.

Beach Read Review: The Way To Win

The Way to Win, by Mark Halperin and John Harris, is an examination of the political trade secrets used by the Bush and Clinton administrations, and how their lessons can be applied to the 2008 Presidential race.

It also delves into how candidates need to manage the expanding and demanding media, or what the authors term as "The Freak Show."

It's an intriguing read, but at times it's a very cynical look at the tactics used by both sides to gain a political advantage. I've heard critics call it a "kiss-off to the right," and Karl Rove in particular. While there is some Rove worship, the end of the book does call into the question the legacy he will ultimately leave.

To be fair, this book was written before the 2006 midterms. So the judgement on Rove's ways may not be complete until after this next election.

Here are some of the points the authors make:

• Bush beat Kerry, in part, because his people were able to manage, "The Freak Show" better. Right now, "The Freak Show" does not affect both parties equally. Republicans have an advantage.


• There is no liberal equivalent of the Fox News Channel, Rush Limbaugh or the Drudge Report, all which promote controversies that downgrade the old media and benefit conservative candidates and agendas.


• The New Media's bias against Republicans is unfair. But the Old Media's favoritism towards Democrats was also unfair. So the New Media, is in essence, payback.


• You can't run to the right (or left) in the primaries, if you expect to run to the center in the general election. Reinvention will burn you with a closely divided electorate.


• The most important political trait the Clintons, Bush and Rove have in common is that they try to understand as much about the other party as they know about their own.


• For the best poll reading, look at the right questions. Those are not the snapshot approval rating or popularity questions. Instead, look closely at questions that begin . . . "Which party do you trust to do a better job on . . ." Those are less likely to change overnight.


• Every campaign should be about relationships, not merely transactions. Attention candidates: Cater to political supporters, stroke the egos of volunteers, but above all, return reporters phone calls. You're (almost) guaranteed better coverage that way.


• Direct mail still works. Ads are still powerful. But mailings (paper or web) require engagement to produce a reaction. (Send a message to Ted Kennedy and the liberal media by contributing now!)


• Campaign dissension should always stay private (Bush did this nicely). Being nice helps you win, period.


• Data mining is priceless. Karl Rove knows that homes with caller IDs are more likely to be Republican dwellings. People who like to gamble tend to lean towards Democrats. How much do Missouri's political parties know about their own voters?


• Ask senior officials in most campaigns, "What are you doing next week?," and the honest response will be . . . "We don't know what we are doing the day after tomorrow." Winning campaigns design a long-term campaign schedule in advance, and only change it in dire circumstances. Discipline in scheduling is key, even when the crap is hitting the fan.


• For those of you who think Hillary Clinton can't win in 2008, get over it. You're delusional. That's not saying she will win. But she certainly can.


• Clinton politics is the politics of consensus -- taking moderate positions on issues and even co-opting your opponent's ideas to triangulate and garner an electable "middle." Bush politics is divisive. One that stands on principle, galvanizes a hard-core, dedicated base of supporters, and defends their rightward flank no matter what. The question in 2008, is which will be a more effective strategy in 2008? Clinton politics or Bush politics?

Read any good political books lately?

Rep. Norr Backs Edwards

Rep. Charlie Norr (#137) tells the KY3 Political Notebook that if he had to vote today, he would back John Edwards for President.

Norr made the comments at a Democratic Presidential debate watch party. He said he believes Hillary Clinton and John Edwards are the top two candidates running on the Democratic side.

But Edwards' visits to the Ozarks certainly has had an impact on Norr's decision.

"I'd have to go with Edwards," Rep. Norr said. "I've met the man, I've talked to him. He's a very sincere person."

Post Debate Wrap, Part 3

It's not even midnight and the chattering political class has concluded the following about the first Democratic Presidential Debate:

1) Hillary won. Looked presidential. Nice answer on retaliating against a terror attack. Your colleagues followed your lead. That's why you are the frontrunner.

2) Obama fell flat. Blew the terror attack question by talking about first responders instead of hitting back hard. This guy's expectations were set so high it was bound to happen. And so it did.

3) Edwards needed a better showing for a guy in 3rd. And South Carolina is his territory! What the?

4) Biden separated himself from the lower-tier with his one-liner. Dodd and Richardson underwhelmed.

5) Gravel upstaged Kucinich. Who woulda thunk it?

Other notable quotes from the chattering class:

"Hey, is there any there there? Is this just a suit,?" said Commentator Pat Buchanan on Barack Obama's debate performance.

"I was very disappointed," said Joan Walsh of Salon.com on John Edwards.

"Clinton, Edwards and Obama have done what is required to get out of the first debate. Hillary Clinton should be the next Democratic nominee for president if she avoids big mistakes. Tonight she did," said MSNBC host Joe Scarborough.

"Commentators will say that Edwards and Obama looked uncomfortable at times. No one made any major errors. No one made any major advances," reported The Hotline.

"Mrs. Clinton, not surprisingly, seemed very prepared, the eager student determined to ace the test," wrote the New York Times Political Blog.

"Talk about tame," from Politics1.com.

"Clinton, who appeared relaxed and – without dazzling, or aiming to dazzle – in command of the facts, reminded the audience that she is a formidable frontrunner," wrote Ben Smith of The Politico. "Still, Obama seemed less at ease than his two leading rivals, and a senior aide, Robert Gibbs – while denying that perception – said the campaign “didn’t quite know what to expect of the format.”

"If it had been a radio debate, I think Chris Dodd would have won. He seemed to have the most substantive answers that fit the time available. I was underwhelmed by Obama. He didn't live up to the hype or his public image. Hillary didn't accomplish what she needed to do tonight, which is persuade people she's a likeable person. She still has time to do that, but she didn't make much progress tonight," said an anonymous Republican strategist as reported by National Review Online.

"The way it looked from here, Richardson came off as something of a buffoon," said an observer in the debate hall as reported by The Huffington Post.

"Obama started somewhat slowly but warmed to the task. Edwards was steady. Clinton was crisp and concise," wrote Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post.

DailyKos Says Edwards Won

More buzz about the debate after talking to some peeps and quickly reviewing the chatter online . . .

Some believe Hillary did fine just fine, but Obama struggled through some questions.

That means the gravitas questions will continue for the Senator from Illinois. Look for smarty-pants analysis pieces about Obama's failure to measure up over the next few days.

Still, looking at the MSNBC online polling, Obama did just fine.

Lots of talk about John Edwards long pause after the question about a moral leader. If he said his wife quicker, that would've been apple pie! And an entry to talk about Elizabeth Edwards, who may be more popular than Oprah right now. So why'd he wait so long?

Did Hillary look the "most presidential" of the field? Some of the Dems at Harpo's felt so.

But there's still a feeling of grass-roots support for Edwards. Dems in the Ozarks like him because 1) he's been here a lot 2) he seems like one of them, a Dem that could run and win in, Aurora, let's say 3) they think he can win.

A quick DailyKos poll gave Edwards the win. The abortion rights crowd liked his answer on abortion. And the anti-war crowd liked him challenging Hillary on the war.

Did Mike Gravel Win the First Debate?

I'm just back from a Springfield Democratic watch-party for the first Democratic Presidential debate, and all the buzz is about former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel.

Who?

Exactly.

It's always the lower-tier candidates who have the best lines in debates (think Al Sharpton, Pat Buchanan) because they have less to lose and most to gain.

But after judging applause (and laughter) at the Springfield watch-party at Harpo's, there's a sense that many Democrats agree with what long-shot candidates Gravel and Rep. Dennis Kuninich have to say.

"This isn't American Idol here, we're picking a president," Kucinich quipped.

Springfield's John Kaicher said he was impressed with Gravel and wants to learn more. He called him the candidate that made the most sense. "He was bright, articulate and intelligent. I like Hillary, but I think she was just hemming and hawing. Same with Obama, both good people, but they weren't willing to go out on a limb on how they feel about certain issues," Kaicher said.

Democrat Joe Biden's one-word "yes" answer to Brian Williams' question about being able to avoid verbal mistakes on the world stage also went over well.

It seems that people treat these early debates for what they are. Since a lot of the rhetoric is filled with general language, and risk-free soundbites, people want a little entertainment. They want a "Can you believe he said that?" line. They also want to laugh. It may gain Gravel more media attention and buzz, but history shows it probably won't transform into a groundswell of real support.

As one Democrat put it, "He's great to watch, but no one thinks he's got a chance."

And if Gravel didn't win this debate, then who did . . . and why?

Rep. Emerson Votes "Present" on Iraq Bill

U.S. Representative Jo Ann Emerson, who represents the eastern part of the Ozarks, is explaining her unusual vote on the Iraq war spending bill that starts the withdrawal of U.S. troops.

Last night the Republican Congresswoman only said "present" when asked her vote.

She released this statement to KY-3 News explaining why...

"I cannot abide the way this war is being conducted, but neither can I lend my support to a measure that politicizes the men and women in uniform so bravely serving our country," Emerson said.

The legislation is the first binding challenge on the war that Democrats have managed to send to President Bush since they reclaimed control of both houses of the Congress in January. The $124 billion dollar spending bill requires troop withdrawals to begin October first, or sooner.

"I sincerely hope that, when the political dust settles, this Congress can pass a meaningful emergency supplemental appropriations bill that will send both a message of urgency to the Iraqi government and a message of encouragement to our troops," Emerson said in her statement.

Emerson voted against the House version of the supplemental in March.

She is just one of two members who changed their votes.

Around the Horn in Jeff City

• House Democrats are calling on Gov. Matt Blunt to immediately drop his administration’s lawsuit against a former Missouri Department of Agriculture employee who accused the agency’s former director of sexual harassment. The Agriculture department sued the employee on Feb. 20. Ag Director Fred Ferrell was forced to resign on Feb. 26. During a court hearing on Wednesday, Cole County Circuit Judge Patricia Joyce denied the department’s request for an immediate ruling in its favor. House Minority Leader Jeff Harris, D-Columbia, said the governor should order the agriculture department to drop the lawsuit. “It is unconscionable that the Blunt administration would cover up these serious allegations for more than nine months and then sue the victim in a desperate attempt to keep its dirty little secret,” Harris said. “The governor should do the right thing and cease victimizing the victim.”
• Two House Republicans are expressing extreme disappointment with what they call "a lack of cooperation from the Attorney General's office during the appropriations process." Representatives Jim Lembke, R-St. Louis County, and Nathan Cooper, R-Cape Girardeau say Attorney General Jay Nixon failed to comply with reasonable requests from the House Committee on Appropriations-General Administration for additional data with regard to their annual budget requests. “I’m baffled by this disregard for the legislative budget process,” said Rep. Lembke. “Fiscal oversight requires communication and accountability. Attorney General Nixon himself touts the availability of public records and open government as being crucial to the well-being of good government, but he fails to follow through on it.”
• Gov. Matt Blunt today launched an energy sharing initiative that will generate steam to heat the Jefferson City Correctional Center. He says it will save taxpayers $8 million dollars. The partnership launched today will create renewable energy and heat using byproducts from the Jefferson City Landfill. Methane gas from the landfill will be converted to electricity, and the heat created by conversion facilities will be used to heat water for the state prison. The project uses resources that would otherwise have been wasted while at the same time producing benefits for the environment, the state, prison and local communities, according to a Blunt administration press release.
  
  

Huckabee's Son Arrested

From the Associated Press:

Twenty-six-year-old David Huckabee -- a son of presidential Republican candidate Mike Huckabee -- was arrested at Little Rock's airport today after an X-ray technician found a
loaded Glock pistol in his carry-on luggage.

David Huckabee -- who has a concealed weapons permit -- was charged with having a weapon in a prohibited place.

A sheriff's spokesman said he later pleaded guilty to the charge in Little Rock District Court, and was being processed at the jail.

Police say the 40-caliber Glock had eight live rounds in the clip but no bullet in the chamber. Police say David Huckabee said he forgot he had the weapon inside his luggage.

Mike Huckabee is the former governor of Arkansas.

The First Democratic Debate

Stop saying to yourself it's early.

It's not that early. (We're only 9 months away from Iowa afterall.)

So tonight it begins. The first Presidential debate.

6 p.m.-7:30 p.m. Central Time on MSNBC (live webstream on MSNBC.com)

Unless one of the top candidates makes a remarkable gaffe that can be replayed on YouTube, no one will remember the first Democratic presidential debate months from now.

But the debate still sets the stage and the tone.

This debate won't be as much about policy as it will be about presence. Do one (or more) of these Democrats really look (and sound) like he or she can be President?

So what will you see tonight? Here's the smart conventional wisdom:

Hillary Clinton should stay above the fray. No need to attack any of her opponents. Dare them to beat up on a woman! But the former first lady should strive to say something authentic and unrehearsed. Then again, she doesn't have to do anything (except not screw up) because she's the frontrunner.

Barack Obama shouldn't attack Hillary. He should also stay above the fray. Sure, he can hint that he was against the war before we launched it. But he needs to show gravitas. He can't just look and sound cool. He should address his negatives. The top one: Does this guy have what it takes? Maybe unveil a new policy position to showcase some substance. Other than that, Obama should smile at Hillary and wink at Edwards. Because right now, he da man.

John Edwards should make distinctions. Go on the offensive. Alright, I'll just say it. Attack. Edwards is in the odd position of being sandwiched between two superstars and a lower-tier of candidates. He's got a legitimate shot at the nomination, but he's still an underdog. Edwards should talk up healthcare, and take some potshots at the frontrunners to show some steel.

Bill Richardson should say something in Spanish. He should repeat that he's the only Governor in this race, from a southwestern state. He should say he's talked tough to dictators overseas. And he should note that this is too important of an election to just pick a superstar. And then he should say something else in Spanish.

Joe Biden should do what he does best. Talk. But not too much. He should be himself, but make sure he doesn't go over the time allotted for a response that would reinforce a stereotype that he's a blowhard. He should outline his Iraq plan to partition the country. And then say that it's the position that most Democratic candidates will have 6 months from now. He should be tough on the top tier, but in a light-hearted, even funny way.

Chris Dodd should give a reason for his candidacy other than that he's got experience. Experience on the Democratic side isn't a compelling enough argument to elevate him into the top year. If voters want experience, they'll go with Hillary. Why are you running Christ Dodd? Specifically? Articulate a position that raises eyebrows, and take some shots at the top tier. You got nothing to lose.

Dennis Kucinich should tell us why he's running again. The answer will be that there's no clear anti-war candidate. Kucinich may be the only one to directly challenge Hillary and Obama on Iraq. He'll make it fun. And he'll probably deliver the best (or most outrageous) soundbite of the night.

Mike Gravel should tell people who he is and why no one has been covering him. He should rail against political reporters for drooling over the celebrity candidates instead of covering the issues. He should tell us why he's different. And then late in the debate he should say something that will be worth watching on YouTube over and over.

Again, the debate is 6 p.m. Central Time.

Word is local Democrats will be meeting at Harpo's to watch.

After it is over, make sure to come back here and tell me what you think.

The Abortion War in Springfield

The Supreme Court's 5-to-4 decision to outlaw controversial late-term abortions has re-energized both sides of the debate and left many wondering the real-world impact.

Watch the debate on my KY3 News @ 10 report HERE.

Planned Parenthood held a rally at the Federal Courthouse Wednesday to protest the decision. One pro-life advocate was also there to counter their message. Pro-lifers believe the more people that understand the late term abortion procedure, the more likely they will be to oppose it.

But some believe because late term abortions are so rare, the practical impact will be minimal.

Senate OK's MOHELA

MOHELA is Mo-Moving to the House.

The Missouri Senate has passed a plan that would authorize millions of dollars in higher education loan assets to capital improvements on college campuses.

After months of wrangling over the issue, Gov. Matt Blunt praised the Senate for its 23-11 vote.

"I applaud Senate members for taking this bold step to support higher education in our state, increase funding for student scholarships, introduce accountability measures, provide tuition stabilization and enact the Lewis and Clark Discovery Initiative for Missouri students," Blunt said.

As Jason Rosenbaum at the Columbia Tribune notes, Sen. Frank Barnitz was one of 3 Democrats who voted for it.

From the CT Politics Blog:

"Sen. Frank Barnitz, D-Lake Spring, said he supported the multi-million dollar projects at University of Missouri-Rolla and Linn State Technical College that would funded under Nodler’s bill."

"I think that’s fortunate that I’ve got the funds coming to my district,” said Barnitz, whose district gained dollars after an $85 million Health Sciences Center at MU was stripped out earlier. “I’m glad that I was able to negotiate for my district to get the funds necessary to complete those projects. That’s my job up here – to fight for my district.”

Bond Blasts Pelosi for Not Meeting With Patraeus

Sen. Kit Bond is blasting Democratic leaders in Washington today for refusing to meet with General David Petraeus.

You can listen to the audio of Bond's comments HERE.

Bond said he was disappointed that Speaker Nancy Pelosi, "who had time to meet with the President of a state sponsor of terrorism, and who wants to run the war," has decided to skip this briefing.

Bond also said that "there are some initial signs" that General Petraeus' new strategy in Iraq is working.

It's Official: Blunt to Endorse Romney Thursday

From Mitt Romney's Presidential campaign:

Boston, MA – Missouri Governor Matt Blunt and House Speaker Rod Jetton will hold a press conference on Thursday to announce their support and endorsement of Governor Mitt Romney's candidacy for President of the United States.

The press conference will be held at 12:45 p.m. on the Capitol Steps in Jefferson City.

Blunt on Entitlements; McCaskill Pushes Broadband; Kit Meets Condi

Rep. Roy Blunt is blasting Democrats for failing to rein in "runaway entitlements" while crafting the 2008 budget. Blunt seized on a report released by the Social Security and Medicare Board of Trustees. It warns that the two giant programs are unsustainable as we move into the next span of decades. The Medicare warning was a trigger included by the Republicans in the 2003 Medicare bill. It is meant to alert the public that general revenues will soon account for more than 45% of Medicare spending.

"Unfortunately, the current stewards of Congress don't seem all that moved by the forecasts of impending insolvency," Blunt said in a release. "House Democrats passed a spendthrift budget that takes great pride in erasing Republican tax relief, but does absolutely nothing to ease - much less erase - the rising tide of Social Security and Medicare insolvency."

Sen. Claire McCaskill is working to reform a rural utilities service program that provides grants and loans to establish broadband technology to rural areas. McCaskill said that the definition of "rural" in the Ag Department program has been significantly widened to include some areas where service is already available. According to McCaskill, a 2005 audit found that the program loaned $23 million to a company to provide broadband to subdivisions outside of Houston, Texas.

"I'd appreciate the opportunity to try to take a two-by-four to that agency and fix that program so we can use that money and make that bureaucracy responsive as opposed to saying well, we wasted that money, let's start another one with no assurances that we're not going to have the same darn thing happen again," McCaskill said in a release.

Sen. Kit Bond met with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice today on public diplomacy efforts in Iraq, Afghanistan and Southeast Asia.

Bond said he stressed to Rice the importance of promoting economic infrastructure as part of the diplomatic effort in the War on Terror. According to a release, Bond also urged Rice to step up diplomacy efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan through the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID.) The senior Senator wants $20 million for the establishment of a U.S. college consortium to be administered by Texas A&M University. That consortium will partner with other universities, like the University of Missouri, to provide training and assistance to Afghan officials.

Planned Parenthood Rally Wednesday

Planned Parenthood of Southwest Missouri will rally at the Federal Courthouse Wednesday with other pro-choice supporters to "express outrage over the Supreme Court's ruling" to uphold a ban on late-term abortion, according to a release.

The rally is meant to "send a message to the Missouri legislature that women's health and safety must be protected," according to Kellie Rohrbaugh of Planned Parenthood.

"The Supreme Court's 5-4 decision to uphold the federal abortion ban gives politicians the green light to interfere in the private healthcare decisions of women and families," reads the release.

The rally will be held between 4:30-6 p.m. on the corner of St. Louis Street and Hammons Parkway.

Back From Aruba

I'm just back from the beautiful island of Aruba, where I spent a week with 3 friends from journalism school. 2 work in sports, the other works for NBC News in Chicago. But once we got on the island, we were all able to keep our minds off the daily grind.

But while I spent the last 6 days in the sun, a national tragedy reignited the debate over gun control, a series of polls shook up the race for President and the Missouri legislature ramped up its work as it nears the end of the 2007 session.

More to come on all of that . . . for now, enjoy the lovely snapshots.

Away for Vaca

A quick note: I'll be vacationing outside the country for the next week. While I'll have access to the Internet, I don't expect to be posting- -barring extreme political circumstances.

Meanwhile, because of the Virginia Tech massacre, politics seems to rightfully be on hold for now anyway.

I'll be back next Tuesday.

Nixon Raises $1.3 Million in 6 Months

Attorney General Jay Nixon also revealed the fundraising status of his campaign for Governor today, touting more than $1.9 million dollars in cash on hand.

The Democratic Party release says Nixon's totals set a new record for raising more than any non-incumbent campaign for Governor 20 months prior to election day.

The Nixon campaign reported receiving nearly $2.6 million dollars from more than 4,000 donors since he launched his campaign. During the last reporting period Nixon's campaign received over 2,000 contributions totaling more than $1.3 million.

More from the release:

"Nixon's $1.9 million cash on hand is more than double the $700,000 then-Secretary of State Matt Blunt reported on his April 2003 campaign finance report. Nixon has even outpaced then-incumbent Governor Bob Holden, who in April 2003 reported $1.53 million cash on hand.

"There's no doubt Matt Blunt will use incumbency to raise millions and millions. But Jay's fundraising success makes one thing clear - he'll have the resources it takes to win," said campaign Treasurer Craig Hosmer.

Nixon's fundraising base continues to grow. More than half of Nixon's contributions during the period came from nearly 1,000 first time donors. Well over half of Nixon's contributions came from donors giving $100 or less, and 96% of contributions came from donors in Missouri."

Jo Mannies at the St. Louis Post-Dispatch notes it's an early 2 to 1 advantage for Nixon's probable opponent, Gov. Matt Blunt.

Gov. Blunt Raises $2.9 Million Since October

Governor Matt Blunt has raised nearly $3 million dollars since October and has about $4.5 million in the bank to spend.

Blunt's campaign filed its end-of-quarter financial report today.

“This strong financial position shows not only that Missouri voters are pleased with Governor Blunt’s leadership, but also that he is well-prepared to continue leading Missouri in the right direction,” said John Hancock, spokesman for Blunt’s political committee.

Guess that means he's running?

The release notes that the campaign has invested about $4 million of its cash on hand in high interest CDs. "The amount raised in the last six months surpasses that of any governor in the history of the state. The greatest amount Bob Holden raised in a reporting period during his term was less than half the amount raised by Governor Blunt, at $1,183,205.00 in the first quarter of 2003, which he ended with $1,533,921.81 cash on hand," notes the Hancock release.

Romney, Obama Lead Chase for Ozarks Money

The New York Times has a great site that places 1st quarter campaign contributions of the presidential candidates on a nationwide map.

Here's the total amounts of money raised by candidates in Central/Southwest Missouri:

DEMS
Barack Obama $11,360
Hillary Clinton $3,825
John Edwards $2,450
Chris Dodd $1,500

G.O.P.
Mitt Romney $60,562
John McCain $11,875
Sam Brownback $2,600
Rudy Giuliani $2,250
Ron Paul $500
Mike Huckabee $250

Yepsen: Fred Thompson Can't Win

DES MOINES - Iowa's premiere political columnist tells The KY3 Political Notebook that he doesn't believe Fred Thompson could win the presidency if he decided to run, because the former U.S. Senator has cancer.

David Yepsen, a columnist for the Des Moines Register, said that cancer is a disqualifier for potential presidential candidates.

Fred Thompson, who has been drafted to run for President by a majority of Missouri House Republicans, is considering jumping into the crowded 2008 campaign.

But last week he revealed that he's been battling lymphoma for the last three years.

Is cancer an automatic disqualifer?

"Fred Thompson has cancer. You just can't get elected if that's the case," said Yepsen in an interview in Des Moines this weekend. "Look what happened to Paul Tsongas."

Tsongas ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 1992 with cancer. He died in 1997.

Yepsen said the cancer hurdle is too high for a candidate to overcome. "I'm not sure how serious he was before," Yepsen said about Thompson. "But I think he's going to run into some people telling him he's wasting his time."

Images In Iowa

Just completed a grueling 13-hour day trailing the G.O.P. candidates for President in Iowa . . . It was quite a whirlwind, and I have lots to write about. But for now, take a look at some of the images we captured of the candidates on the road to the White House.

Huckabee Barnstorms Iowa

Governor Mike Huckabee is barnstorming Iowa this weekend, making stops in Des Moines and Indianola, and taking jabs at his G.O.P. frontrunner rivals along the way.

Last night we sat down for a one-on-one interview with Huckabee and attended a lightly attended reception with supporters in downtown Des Moines.

Early this morning we trailed Huckabee at a G.O.P. breakfast in Indianola. Immigration seems to be a hot-button issue in Indianola, which is about 30 miles south of Des Moines. Huckabee took several questions on the issue at the pancake breakfast. But looming over all, remains the war in Iraq and foreign policy.

Early impressions of Huckabee is that he's funny and really good one-on-one. Most Iowans we talked to don't know much about him, but want to learn more. Huckabee seems really laid back and comfortable in his own shoes. Even when his handlers try to whisk him away, he stays and answers more questions, takes more pictures, shakes more hands. He's definitely likeable, and comes across as a regular person.

His challenge is a lack of money and low name recognition. He also gets criticized for offering too many jokes in his speeches and not enough policy substance.

We'll be catching up more with Huckabee later tonight. Right now we just got to an event for John McCain in Marshalltown, Iowa, about 40 minutes northeast of Des Moines. McCain is expected to arrive at a community college at around 12:15 p.m. to speak to dozens of supporters. We bet he'll continue to make his forceful case for why the U.S. needs to remain in Iraq.

After trailing McCain, we plan to head back to Des Moines for the big Republican Unity dinner tonight. We're told it is the first time all the Republican candidates for President will share the same stage and speak.

That's all for now . . . back to the trail!

TO IOWA . . . Or Bust!

The KY3 Political Notebook will be on the road for the next three days, traveling to Iowa to cover the 2008 presidential race in the first-in-the-nation caucus state.

Photojournalist Doug Magditch and I will be leaving for Des Moines early Friday to join Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee on the campaign trail for a few days to get an up-close look at the race for the White House.

We'll be trailing Huckabee but we'll also be covering Republican candidates Rudy Giuliani, John McCain and other candidates on the trail.

From reviewing the schedule, it doesn't look like a lot of the Democratic candidates are in Des Moines this weekend, so this will mainly focus on the G.O.P. tier. The focus is on Huckabee, because he falls into our KY3 viewing area, which includes northern Arkansas. But I will try my darndest to get back and cover the Dems!

The TV stories will air at some point in May. Web stories and blogs about the trip will be posted gradually.

Either way, I hope to bring back lots of scoops and insight about the campaign trail and the G.O.P. field as well as possibly producing some news. I'm taking my computer on the road with no guarantee of an internet connection. If possible, I'll try to post - but our schedule is pretty packed the next 3 days.

If not, I'll talk to you again next week.

To Iowa . . . Or Bust!

Rep. Denison Backs Fred Thompson for Prez

Rep. Charlie Denison is throwing his support behind former U.S. Senator and actor Fred Thompson for President -- if the Law & Order star decides to get into the 2008 race.

In an interview, Denison said he could align with Thompson "quicker than anyone else in the field," if he throws his hat in.

Despite revelations that Thompson has cancer, conservative columnist Bob Novak believes Thompson could jump into the race as early as next week.

Denison said Thompson is the best candidate in the crowded G.O.P. field.

"He's got several very good qualities. He's not overly conservative, but conservative enough," Denison said.

When I asked Denison if he could support former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney for the nomination, he said he probably could not. "I don't think he can win, especially up against Hillary Clinton. We've got to be ready and prepared, I just don't think he could pull it off."

Thanks to the Greene County G.O.P. Women

The Greene County Republican Women invited me to be their guest speaker at their monthly luncheon meeting today.

After munching on a buffet, I had the pleasure to speak to the group about politics and the media, perceived bias in political reporting and how we cover stories on-the-air and online.

I really enjoyed the questions and the conversation. Just wanted to thank Ann Compton again for the invite.

It's good to get out and talk about what you do with the people who watch and read you. I hope it fosters more respect and trust between us mediatypes and our audience.

A Pre-emptive Strike on Jay Nixon

The attacks from the Missouri Republican Party against Jay Nixon are already coming fast and hard more than 18 months before the 2008 election.

But do any of them stick?

Watch my KY3 News @ 10 report HERE.

With Governor Matt Blunt's popularity sagging, the idea is to chip away at the Attorney General's credibility early and often.

But is anyone paying attention to donations from Ameren UE? Does it even matter?

The immigration survey may end up having more legs because Nixon has yet to explain it.

You can find out what both sides are saying "officially" in the piece.

Behind the scenes, Democrats believe the attacks on Nixon are the only way Gov. Blunt has a shot at getting re-elected. And some privately believe if these are the best charges they have, Nixon is in good shape. Other Democrats quietly think that Nixon's worst enemy can be his own mouth, and worry his passion (or anger) could lead him to go too far rhetorically.

Republicans (privately) are worried about Gov. Blunt's re-election chances in what could be another hostile climate for the G.O.P in 2008. One G.O.P. elected official in Greene County recently told me he thinks Blunt will ultimately be beaten. "Some days I want to kiss him, and other days I want to shake him," the official recently told me. "Look at what Claire did to Jim Talent, and he didn't have near the problems Blunt faces," he added. But other Republicans also take solace in Nixon's statewide record in races other than the A.G. slot. He's 0-2 in bids for the U.S. Senate.

By the way, we've offered Governor Blunt the same opportunity to sit down and talk policy and 2008 politics with us. His office is reviewing our request.

Sheriff Says He Can't Fight Illegal Immigration

The Greene County sheriff met with the Springfield Minutemen recently. That's a group formed to fight illegal immigration. Sheriff Jack Merritt told them some things they didn't want to hear -- mainly that his hands are tied when it comes to battling illegal immigration locally.

Watch my KY3 News @ 10 report HERE.

Senate Passes Medicaid Overhaul

Missouri senators approved a bill that would overhaul the state's Medicaid system tonight. The priority legislation for Gov. Matt Blunt and Republican legislative leaders passed the Senate on a 26-7 vote on Wednesday. It would rename Medicaid as "MO HealthNet" and place greater emphasis on preventive health care. Participants would receive credit for extra health care benefits if they try to maintain a healthy lifestyle. A doctor also could receive higher state payments if she shows a history of good patient care.

Missouri has about 825,000 people on Medicaid. The bill seeks to expand the number covered by managed health-care plans. It also would match people up with health-care coordinators.
The legislation now goes to the House.

The bill is SB577.

Conservatives Grumbling About Rep. Denison

Some conservative Republicans are upset with Rep. Charlie Denison over a recent vote on a tax credit bill aimed at helping struggling students in St. Louis and Kansas City.

The fallout from this and other votes is so strong among conservatives that the KY3 Political Notebook has learned of at least two Republicans already gearing up for a possible primary challenge to Denison.

Rep. Denison voted "no" on House Bill 808, which would have established a tax credit program for scholarships. The proposal failed in the House. Opponents said the program would take money away from other proven programs that have closed the achievement gap in schools.

But conservatives like Larry Russell of the Missouri Republican Assembly believe the tax credit vote separates the "wheat from the chaff."

"We're very disappointed with Charlie on this," Russell said, referring to members of the MRA. "He's not voting conservative. We're hoping Charlie understands his misstep," he added.

Denison said the reason he voted against the tax credit bill is because the 2.5 grade point average set for students to qualify was too high. "I made a deal the the Governor and the Speaker and said if they bring it down from 2.5 to 2.0, it would be something I could support," Rep. Denison said.

"Last time I checked 2.5 was passing, and this is meant to help with failing students. At 2.0, this would get to a larger number of children failing in the school system," he added.

"Some people were convinced this is the best way to help these kids. I just happen to disagree," Rep. Denison said. "I thought it was a conservative vote, I thought it was saving taxpayers money."

But Russell said there's a bigger pattern with Denison that has conservatives grumbling. "There's also a lack of communication he's been giving us. There's widespread concern in the group about Charlie, and I'm a little surprised. I'm not happy to say that," Russell said.

Russell said Denison's previous vote for a motorcycle helmet law also upset conservatives in his group who strongly believe in individual rights.

"He's creating a little hardship for other members of the caucus, but he still has a chance to rectify himself," Russell said. "But it's his second term and he still hasn't come back with any chairmanships or anything, that's a concern. What could follow is a parting of the ways," he added.

"It's very possible he'll have a primary challenge. There's two people thinking about it. One could be very credible," said Russell.

EXCLUSIVE: The Jay Nixon Interview

Jay Nixon talks fast.

He can swiftly answer 20-minutes of questions in 12-minutes. That's on the record.

Talk to him casually, "on background" about his 2008 campaign for Governor -- that's when he really speeds up and gets animated.

Nixon is clearly amped up about a chance to take on Gov. Matt Blunt. Things look good for Nixon now. Blunt is sagging in the polls. There's whispers about a primary challenge from the right. (Nixon looks to have cleared the field on his side.) The Democratic party is energized from its 2006 wins.

But Nixon knows there's lots of time until 2008. The yet-to-be-known presidential nominees could drastically alter the landscape in Missouri. Nixon has lost previous statewide bids for U.S. Senate. There's a chance Blunt could unveil a new revolutionary Medicaid system that woos back the base and gains cred among independents. And no recent high-profile statewide race in Missouri has been a blowout.

I recently sat down with Jay Nixon for a one-on-one interview about policy and politics.

You can watch the KY3 Web/Blog Exclusive HERE.

The highlights . . .

• Nixon answers G.O.P. charges about campaign contributions from energy giant AmerenUE. "They clearly want to change the channel with what's happened with Matt Blunt," he said.
• Nixon said restoring all of the Medicaid cuts would be his top priority as Governor. He called Blunt's MissouriHealthNet, "a bumper sticker slogan for a healthcare plan that's not even complete."
• Nixon said he believes Matt Blunt is running in 2008, "if he makes it through the primary."
• Nixon said he supports some type of tax relief on social security benefits, but is concerned about "cost issues."
• Nixon said a proposed MOHELA sell-off is "fundamentally wrong," and added that "a voucher plan is dead wrong."
• On a 1998 Project VoteSmart survey where he indicated that he supported benefits for illegal immigrants . . . "I don't remember what was on that, may have to look at that. I don't remember doing it."
• A lesson from Claire McCaskill's successful run? "We're going to campaign all over the state. I think that's the one lesson from the difference between '04 and '06 for Claire McCaskill."
• Just don't ask Jay about Hillary. Would he feel comfortable with Madam Clinton on the top of the ticket in Missouri? "I think it's just far too early to say," he said.

Again, you can watch the full-interview HERE.

12,000 More Guard soldiers to Iraq; Bond Says Administration Must Deal with Shortfalls

Sen. Kit Bond sent out a statement with Vermont Sen. Patrick Leahy today that urges the Bush administration to address "troubling shortfalls" within the National Guard.

The Senators released the statement in response to the Army's decision to alert more than 12,000 members of the National Guard that they would be deploying to Iraq starting in December.

Bond and Leahy are co-chairs of the Senate National Guard Caucus.

"This substantial deployment of members of the Army National Guard shows how indispensable the Guard is to our military strength," said Bond and Leahy. "To ensure that this vital force remains strong, it is imperative that the National Guard have a stronger voice in key policy and debates. The National Guard comprises a substantial portion of the nation’s military strength, but it lacks representation in the upper echelons at the Pentagon, where the decisions that affect the health and welfare of the 500,000 person force are made. By now it also is clearly established that the National Guard simply does not have the equipment here at home to deal with such emergencies as natural disasters, and it is imperative that the Administration develop a real plan to address these troubling shortfalls."

Bond and Leahy said ultimately Congress will have to become involved to appropriate additional funding for the Guard through legislation.

Greene County Republicans Conflicted About 2008 Presidential Choices

***G.O.P. Insiders Poll***

Greene County Republican activists are warming up to Mitt Romney, flirting with Rudy Giuliani and don't know much about Fred Thompson.

A series of interviews with county committeemen and women found that many are conflicted about their choice for President in 2008, some are downright displeased, and most believe it's way too early to tell how the crowded G.O.P. field will shake-out.

In conversations with close to two dozen Greene County Republican party officials, an informal survey found no clear cut choice for President.

Five insiders said they supported Romney. Four would vote for Giuliani. Three gave the nod to Thompson.

Then there are those like G.O.P. Treasurer John Hoffman.

"I'm not impressed with any of them," said Hoffman. "I'd vote for (Mike) Huckabee or (Sam) Brownback. The others are from back east, and much more liberal," he added, referring to the Republican frontrunners.

Committeeman Tim Pietchek echoes the frustration among conservatives about the top tier. That's why he's leaning towards looking at Fred Thompson. "I want to see a Reagan conservative and I haven't seen that," Pietchek said. "My top choice might be a Brownback, but I don't know if he can win, so I'm leaning towards Thompson."

Pietchek even called Romney "a liberal," for pushing "socialized medicine."

Committeeman Bruce McNeely said he would vote for Newt Gingrich "in a heartbeat," but doesn't think the former Speaker really has a chance. "So Mitt Romney would be my choice," McNeely said.

For many, Romney seems to be the fallback candidate - the candidate with the most conservative credentials who also can win.

Committeewoman Lisa McIntire put it best. "He has the best chance of winning and has the closest views to ours," McIntire said of Romney. "We like Brownback, but don't think he has a chance," she said, referring to her and her husband's views. "And Romney's raised a lot of money."

Then there are those who believe Romney won't cut it. That a stronger candidate is needed. To some, that candidate is Fred Thompson.

"His beliefs are more align with mine than anyone else," said Committeeman Steve Helms, who unsuccessfully challenged Rep. Sara Lampe for her legislative seat last fall. "He exudes leadership and is electable. I'm talking him up to people, and have signed the petition," Helms added.

But many Republican activists said they knew little about Fred Thompson. Many didn't know if he was a Congressman or Senator -- or could say what state he is from. It calls into question how widespread Thompson's name identification is with dedicated, loyal Republicans.

It's a fair point to say that Thompson hasn't even announced yet, so most don't know him. But the premise of many Republicans pushing his entry is that he's already beloved.

"I think it might be difficult for Thompson to get in now," said Committeewoman LoVene Claypole. "I like Giuliani. I hope his marriages won't hurt him. I mean, some of these things mattered a lot more when I was younger. These things don't matter as much any more," Claypole said.

Committeewoman Thelma Neff also expressed that she likes Giuliani. "There's not one I completely agree with," she said. Committeeman David Schultz also said he would vote for Giuliani.

"I'm probably a more moderate Republican, but I like how Giuliani handled New York, not just 9-11, but the police and crime situation. I know he has a lot to overcome in Missouri," said Committeewoman Leigh Garren.

But Committeeman Bruce Brown, another self-described "moderate" said it will take a moderate to win. That's why he's supporting . . . Mitt Romney?

"If you a Republican that can get elected in Massachusetts, you can get elected as a Republican as President of the United States," Brown said. "It's going to take a moderate to win this time. A moderate Republican is better than no Republican," he added.

Even County Commissioner Roseanne Bentley said she's undecided on the wide-open field. Bentley is more in the "moderate" mold of the G.O.P. She said she likes Romney's managerial style.

When I asked her about Thompson, she said she has gotten to know him.

But that's another Thompson. Tommy Thompson.

Bentley doesn't know much about Fred Thompson.

The question is whether there is room for another Thompson in this race -- nationally, and among Greene County Republicans.

Thompson & Gingrich Favorites of MRA

Former U.S. Senator Fred Thompson and former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich are the favored candidates for President among one of the most conservative and influential Republican groups in Southwest Missouri.

A recent straw poll of Missouri Republican Assembly (MRA) members found that a majority of members aren't satisfied with the current crop of Republicans running for the 2008 nomination, and would rather vote for Thompson or Gingrich.

A presidential preference poll of about 80 members of the MRA was recently taken by 27-year-old college journalism student Ryan Cooper. Cooper did the poll for a class project and was kind enough to share the specific results with the KY3 Political Notebook.

Number of votes for "Announced Candidates":
Mike Huckabee 15 votes
Mitt Romney 4 votes
Rudy Giuliani 2 votes
John McCain 2 votes
Tom Tancredo 2 votes
Duncan Hunter 2 votes
Sam Brownback 1 vote

The others - a stunning majority - did not vote for any of the announced candidates. When Cooper included 2 "unannounced" candidates in his poll, the results changed dramatically.

"When I included Newt and Thompson in the poll, all the hands in the room went up. I counted about 80 people in all. Newt or Thompson is their first choice," said Cooper, who supports Romney.

The MRA proudly fashions itself as "The Republican Wing of the Republican Party," according to its national website.

One of the MRA's members, Larry Russell, confirmed the results of the straw poll. "Fred's the man," Russell said. "He's just a Reaganite. And we need to get back to Reagan."

Russell said the Ozarks MRA has about 150 members in all and that the group is growing in numbers and clout.

Cooper said he was stunned by the results. "The idea behind it, is that these people are highly engaged, highly involved in the issues, and they are looking for another candidate," Cooper said. "There are some conservatives who like Romney, but he's not clear cut. A lot of that has to do with his previous statements on the issues important to this group. But it's clear they'd rather go with Newt or Fred Thompson," he added.

Cooper also noted some ominous news for former frontrunner John McCain.

"He actually got booed when I said his name," Cooper said. "Conservatives hate John McCain."

Thompson Buzz Increases; Giuliani Comes to Springfield

Missouri's Lieutenant Governor has endorsed former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson for President, as well as State Sen. Carl Bearden.

Johncombestblog.com has Lt. Gov. Peter Kinder's letter of endorsement.

It raises the question of whether a genuine "Draft Thompson" campaign is underway, or if the decision has already been made and these endorsements are just meant to ramp up excitement. Hotline On Call speculates.

I've been trying to watch more Law & Order but I still don't get why Thompson is the charismatic conservative savior of the right? And is dissatisfaction with the other candidates a good enough reason for his candidacy? He used to be a McCain guy afterall.

Meanwhile, Tony Messenger over at the Springfield News-Leader delivers the scoop that Rudy Giuliani is coming to town on Saturday for a breakfast fundraiser at the Tower Club. Messenger notes the fundraiser is for Blunt, not Giuliani. File this under "Things That Make You Go Hmmmm . . ."

Later that day, Giuliani is scheduled to be in Iowa, attending the Republican Party's Unity Dinner in Des Moines.

Meanwhile, the latest primary poll comes from South Carolina, conducted by FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics.

S.C. REPUBLICANS
Rudy Giuliani 26%
John McCain 25%
Mitt Romney 14%
Mike Huckabee 2%

Huckabee Looks to Wal-Mart

From the Arkansas News Bureau:

WASHINGTON - Mike Huckabee will lean on supporters in his home state - including the CEO of Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. - to jumpstart what so far has been a meager fundraising drive for his 2008 presidential run.

The former Arkansas governor on Thursday said Wal-Mart chief executive officer Lee Scott and Jim Walton, chairman of Arvest Bank and a Wal-Mart board member, will co-host a $500-per-person reception for his campaign later this month in Rogers.

Huckabee said he raised about $500,000 over the first quarter of 2007, well behind Republican frontrunners and significantly less than Sen. Sam Brownback, R-Kan., a key challenger for the social conservative vote.

Ozarks Fire Departments Fed Up with FEMA

Some Ozarks fire departments say they are cutting ties with FEMA because of problems they're having getting reimbursed for their work during the historic January ice storm.

Watch my KY3 News @ 10 report HERE.

Budget Battle: Blunt vs. Harpool on Taxes

Democrats in Congress are pushing forward with a budget that promises a big surplus down the road but also allows the tax cuts pushed by the president in his first term to expire. The budget battle could impact personal pocketbooks.

Watch my KY3 News @ 10 story here, which pits Republican Congressman Roy Blunt versus Springfield Democrat Doug Harpool in a battle over budget priorities.

"Essentially the Democrats assume that all of the tax changes of the last 6 years be allowed to go away," said Rep. Blunt.

"What they know is most of the savings from their tax cuts go to the wealthiest few," said Harpool.

Blunt said this budget includes the largest tax increase in American history -- $400 billion dollars.

Blunt said it would increase the average Missouri family's tax bill by $2,200 a year.

"I think now that message is getting very old, it's getting very monotonous. I think there are a lot of people in Southwest Missouri who now doubt the longstanding claim of the Republican party that they are fiscally conservative," Harpool replied.

Bond on Iraq: We'll Know in Several Months

Sen. Kit Bond said political leaders will know in "several months" whether the escalation of U.S. troops into Iraq is working and if Iraqis can govern their country themselves.

"If they are not ready to do that, General Petraeus said he would tell us, he will know in several months, whether there is a possibility. If he cannot do it, then we will implement Plan B," Bond said.

In an energized response to questions about the war in a press conference earlier this week, Sen. Bond strongly defended the war and dared Democrats to cut off funding for the troops in the field.

But Bond got animated when I asked him how long he was willing to support President Bush on the war in Iraq.

"As long as General Petraeus and the people who are in charge of the war say that we are making progress, I'm going to support it," Bond responded. "General Petraeus has gone in with a new plan. They're bringing the Iraqi forces up, they're training them. The training is going well there. The Sunni tribal leaders are now coming to us, asking to get their local guys trained as police to come back and maintain peace in their area. That's a good move," Bond added.

Bond said the alternative -- to cut and run -- would be a disaster. He then said U.S. troops were battling Al-Qaeda in Iraq. "Unfortunately if we walk away in the battle against Al-Qaeda, and its affiliated organizations, this will follow us home. We do not have a choice."

Bond said a withdrawal now would inflame violence between Sunni and Shia. "That's going to create chaos which will allow Al-Qaeda to re-establish a training base and have a safe haven from which to operate against their enemies, including the U.S," he said.

Catanese - But Sunnis and Shia are already killing each other at a rate of 100 a day?
Bond - I know they've been doing that and Saddam Hussein was doing worse. It is ugly. NO war goes according to plan. Do you have a better plan? I haven't seen a better plan.

Catanese - What if the Iraqis are never ready to standup and govern their own country?
Bond - If they are never ready to do that, General Petraeus said he would tell us , he will know within several months whether there is a possibility. If he cannot do it, then we will implement a Plan B. But right now the General deserves to have our support and not have people seeking political cover because the left wing groups like MoveOn.org, who don't like the military, don't like war, are saying you've got to get out.

Committee Votes to Lower Minimum Wage for Tipped Workers

A powerful House member is holding up legislation that would fix a glitch in the state's new minimum wage that's causing havoc for firefighter and police budgets.

Rep. Shannon Cooper, R-Clinton, wants the legislation to go further. The Senate approved a bill (SB 255) in February that would fix the glitch. Cooper backs a bill that also would get rid of the inflation adjuster included in the measure voters approved by a 3-1 margin in November.

The measure raised the minimum wage to $6.50 an hour, from $5.15 an hour, and required it to keep pace with inflation in future years.

Cooper also wants to give restaurants a break and allow a return to paying tipped employees the federal rate of $2.13 an hour. The voter-passed law raised the minimum wage for tipped employees to $3.25 an hour.

Cooper says every interest, not just fire departments, should get help. Cooper's proposal cleared a House committee on Thursday by a 5-3 party line vote. Voting in favor of the measure were Republicans Cooper , Steve Hunter of Joplin , Mike Parson of Bolivar, Dwight Scharnhorst of Ballwin and Steve Tilley of Perryville. Opposed were Democrats Beth Low of Kansas City , Brad Robinson of Bonne Terre and Michael Frame of Eureka.

“The utter disdain Republicans on this committee showed to the 1.6 million Missourians who voted for this law is astounding,” said House Minority Leader Jeff Harris, D-Columbia, in a news release. “Lawmakers who opposed giving raises to low-wage workers should respect and accept the voters’ verdict and cease attempts to overturn the will of the people.”

“I am shocked Republican members would pervert this bill to cut wages for thousands of hardworking waiters and waitresses and prevent all low-wage workers from receiving modest raises in the future,” said Frame in the same news release. “This is a slap in the face to Missouri workers and Missouri voters.”

Proposition B, which passed with 76-percent voter support, increased the state’s standard minimum wage to $6.50 an hour from $5.15 an hour. It also established annual adjustments in the minimum wage based on changes in the Consumer Price Index.

Prior to voter approval in November, the last time Missouri raised its minimum wage was 1997.

Blunt Calls for Statewide 911 Review

Greene County is getting more money for its 911 center, but you may be surprised to find out that some Missouri counties still don't even have a centralized system in place to respond to emergencies.

Watch my KY3 News @ 10 report HERE.

A new statewide study finds that most of the state's 911 systems are outdated, and Governor Matt Blunt today created a special committee to push for changes.

“I am requesting a special legislative committee to hold hearings on the efficiency of the 9-1-1 system, and more importantly, to recommend solutions to make certain this vital emergency network works the way Missourians expect it to work when they need it," Gov. Blunt said in a release.

The special committee will conduct a series of hearings around the state to listen to local concerns from our first responder communities. According to the report, 77 percent of Missouri 9-1-1 centers have equipment more than six years old, can not locate cell phone callers and in a widespread emergency few 9-1-1 centers would have the ability to communicate with each other.

Here's a link to the state's 911 assessment.

John Bolton to Speak in the Ozarks

Former United Nations Ambassador John Bolton will speak at College of the Ozarks in Point Lookout, Mo. next Thursday, April 12th.

Bolton will speak at the school's spring citizenship forum on the topic of terrorism. His speech is titled, "The Threat of Terrorism: Do Americans Really Understand?"

According to the college release, Bolton will talk about terrorism and civil strife and why they "continue to pose the biggest threat to political and economic stability around the world." Bolton will give an overview of worldwide trouble-spots and discuss how these areas could influence the political landscape in the United States.

Bolton will take questions from students. Media has been invited, but the forum, which begins at 6:30 p.m., is closed to the public.

Chiles: Victories an "Insiders Play", Griggs: "I Got My Butt Kicked"

Manufacturer Dan Chiles handily defeated Jack Steck for a general seat on Springfield's City Council Tuesday.

Catching up with him at his watch party at Agrario, Chiles sounded elated.

"I am thrilled. I am so happy. I worked so hard for this, and I intend to work just as hard on City Council," Chiles said.

Chiles said the voters that turned out were motivated, and probably unsatisfied with the status quo.

"The voters wanted change. I think this was kind of an insiders play. You get a low turnout like this, they are hard core voters, the well-informed voters who are coming out," Chiles said. "I'd guess these are the best-informed part of Springfield and they wanted some change."

Chiles ran a campaign on conventional arguments -- better jobs, the environment, public safety and clean streets, and he said he thinks Springfield residents want their new council members to focus on bigger issues.

"I know we are in for some changes. We've got some big issues, some national issues that seem to be influencing politics in Springfield, that weren't being addressed. When City Council focuses on small things, we may be letting voters down. It's important to focus on dogs and potholes, but on the big issues that aren't being addressed in Washington and Jefferson City, like jobs and healthcare and the environment, the people want more leadership," Chiles said.

In the surprise of the night, Libertarian Doug Burlison ousted Councilman Conrad Griggs.

"I got my butt kicked," a disappointed but upbeat Griggs said afterward.

Griggs said he couldn't really pinpoint one reason for his defeat. He said it was probably a bunch of different elements coming together to make for a perfect storm.

"There seemed to be a little tension and anger out there," Griggs said. "I can think of the pit bull thing, the problems with police and fire, the Broadway crossing. People might say, 'he's not for us.' Of course, that's not true, but maybe that's what they thought."

Burlison was best known for leading the effort to petition a citywide audit. Griggs said that campaign probably helped the challenger meet voters and make his case.

"Craig Hosmer made an interesting point with this audit. (Doug) had to get 7,000 signatures.
People might have have felt this was the time for change," Griggs said.

In the end, Griggs was gracious and not at all bitter. He said the media gave him a fair shake and always treated him well. Losing a political race has to be a tough experience. No one likes public rejection, but politicians risk it anytime they put their name on the ballot. I feel it is important to be tough on our politicians, but I admire and respect each and every one of them for putting their name on the line.

"I had 11 years. I'm comfortable with that. I can't say it was a total surprise. You never underestimate your opponent. And I respect the voters judgment," Griggs said. "It's what makes politics interesting."

In interviewing Griggs, it's evident he's certainly someone with a depth of knowledge on a vast number of city and statewide issues. Without rendering an opinion on his decisions, he seemed to do his homework and know his stuff. That's why it was such a shock -- even to some in the political community -- that he lost.

Griggs said he received calls from both Mayor Tom Carlson and Councilman Denny Whayne after his defeat. "They were really upset," Griggs said. "They couldn't pinpoint what the issue was either. But they were upset for me. We had really good relationships."

What's next for Conrad Griggs?

He said he wants to develop a course on Biblical history to teach at Missouri State University. The Republican said he doesn't know if he will ever run for public office again. How about a legislative seat in Jefferson City?

"Never. No thank-you. I don't want to go to Jeff City," Griggs said. "If I can't win in the city, how am I going to win that?"

Burlison couldn't be reached at home when I tried to call him several times late for comment.

Not surprisingly, his phone was busy.

CITY COUNCIL SHAKE-UP: Wright, Griggs Ousted

Two Springfield City Council incumbents were ousted tonight in an election shake-up that even took one of the winners by surprise.

Watch my KY3 News @ 10 report HERE.

Incumbent Conrad Griggs was ousted by Libertarian Doug Burlison in a close race. Prosecutor Cindy Rushefsky handily beat Councilwoman Shelia Wright. Dan Chiles won the open seat.

SHELIA O. WRIGHT 20% . . . . . . . . 468
CINDY RUSHEFSKY 80% . . . . . . . . 1,922

CONRAD GRIGGS 48% . . . . . . . . . 4,055
DOUG BURLISON 52% . . . . . . . . . 4,478

DAN CHILES 59% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,293
JACK STECK 41% . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . 3,633

"This is very consistent with what we were seeing and hearing out on the street. I think City Council has really underestimated the feeling people have that they are not part of the decision making process," said Cindy Rushefsky at her watch party at the Clarion Hotel.

"This is a lesson for City Council and I'm excited to go in a new direction," she added.

DEVELOPING . . .

Greene County Turnout Light

As of about 4:30 p.m., Greene County Clerk Richard Struckoff is still predicting a low turnout of about 12% for today's election.

He tells KY3 News that there's been a higher turnout in Republic and Fair Grove, two towns that have school bond and other issues on the ballot.

The election workers I spoke to today at the polling station at Cox Hospital reaffirm that. "It's slow. We've seen slower. But it's slow," one of the kind ladies told me.

I'll be keeping my eye on the Springfield City Council races tonight.

Dan Chiles is inviting supporters and friends to a watch party at the Agrario restaurant in downtown Springfield. Chiles said Councilman Conrad Griggs is expected to attend as well.

Cindy Rushefsky will be watching the returns with supporters at the Clarion Hotel, in the room across from the Classic Sports bar between 8-11 p.m. She said council candidate Jack Steck will be there.

Again, here are the races I'll be watching tonight:

Zone 2
Councilwoman Shelia Wright vs. Cindy Rushefsky

Seat C
Councilman Conrad Griggs vs. Doug Burlison

Seat D (Bob Jones' seat - Open)
Dan Chiles vs. Jack Steck

Last chance for predictions!

Tune in to KY3 News @ 10 tonight for your complete election results.

WP Cillizza: Huckabee Gets an "F"

The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza offers up report cards for the 2008 presidential candidates based on their first quarter fundraising totals.

Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney get A's.

But former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee gets an "F."

"Former Gov. Mike Huckabee (Ark.): The tale of Huckabee's presidential run is one of missed opportunities. Over the last six months of 2006, social conservatives seemed ready to get excited about one of their own, but Huckabee did next to nothing to build a campaign organization that could take advantage of this energy. And, by raising $500,000 over the first three months of the year, Huckabee seems to have cemented his status as an also-ran in 2008."

Bond: Springfield Not Likely to Get VA Hospital; VA Clinic Planned for Branson

The scandal at the Walter Reed military hospital in Washington, D.C., opened the nation's eyes and focused people in the Ozarks on the care that veterans get here.

At the Veterans Administration clinic in Mount Vernon, patients said Monday that the problem is not so much a matter of quality care but rather one of access to a full range of services.

Watch my KY3 News @ 10 report HERE.

Senator Kit Bond toured the Mount Vernon clinic Monday. He said there's no "magic bullet" to fixing the travel situation for Ozarks veterans. Many drive over an hour to the clinic in Mount Vernon for routine check-ups. But for surgeries, veterans have to travel to Fayetteville, Arkansas -- which can be up to a 3 hour trip for some. Vietnam veteran John Evans said he had to make a 5-hour haul to Little Rock, Arkansas for advanced surgery to treat his prostate cancer.

Still, Senator Bond said that according to figures from the VA, there's not enough veterans in the Ozarks to warrant their own hospital.

Doris Cassidy, assistant director of the VA Medical Center in Fayetteville, said the Arkansas VA hospital serves about 145,000 veterans. Cassidy said studies have shown there are only 30,000 veterans in the Springfield area that could use a hospital. She said those demographic numbers aren't high enough.

But Cassidy did tell the KY3 Political Notebook that there are plans in the works for a VA clinic in Branson. She said a business plan has been drawn up to build a clinic in Branson.

"The Secretary of the VA must approve it and he will announce it when it is approved," said Cassidy.

But she said she believes approval of the clinic is likely and could happen within the next year.

Can Money Buy Votes? . . . To the Polls!

Defense wins championships.

But electoral votes -- not money -- win elections.

Sure, money matters. But, as The Politico notes, the candidates with the most money early don't always win the grand prize. Just ask Phil Gramm in 1995. And John Edwards in 2003. Both were top money winners in the first quarter the year before the election. Neither won the nomination.

Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney are the top fundraisers in their respective parties now, but is all the dough translating into votes?

To the battleground state of Florida we go . . .

FLORIDA REPUBLICANS
Rudy Giuliani 35%
John McCain 15%
Newt Gingrich 11%
Fred Thompson 6%
Mitt Romney 5%

FLORIDA DEMOCRATS
Hillary Clinton 36%
Al Gore 16%
Barack Obama 13%
John Edwards 11%

And in California, it's Rudy and Hillary again.

CALIFORNIA REPUBLICANS
Rudy Giuliani 43%
John McCain 24%
Newt Gingrich 10%
Mitt Romney 7%

CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATS
Hillary Clinton 43%
Barack Obama 26%
John Edwards 17%

So what's the disconnect between Romney's low poll numbers but high donor totals? Who is giving him all the dough? We'll find out more about that when the reports are officially filed on April 15th.

Huckabee Raises Half A Million

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee announced he has raised a little more than $500,000 in the first three months of the year for his 2008 presidential bid.

A spokesman for Huckabee said that number meets the goal set by the campaign -- but the Governor still lags behind his G.O.P. rivals by millions.

Huckabee also said today that the personal lives of candidates matter in the race for the White House.

The following is the list of the money totals raised by candidates during the 1st quarter of the 2008 campaign.

GOP Money List
Mitt Romney $23 million
Rudy Giuliani $15 million
John McCain $12.5 million

Dem Money List
Hillary Clinton $36 million (total); $26 million (first three months)
Barack Obama (*not yet reported)
John Edwards $14 million
Bill Richardson $6 million
Chris Dodd $4 million
Joe Biden $3 million