Thursday, February 14, 2008

Nixon Remains Under 50% Against Hulshof, Steelman

With a hat tip to John Combest, here's the first public poll in Missouri's reshuffled 2008 Governor's race:

Jay Nixon 46%
Sarah Steelman 35%

Jay Nixon 48%
Kenny Hulshof 30%

  • Jay Nixon remains under 50% against each contender.
  • Kenny Hulshof's main goal over the next 90 days will be to get his name identification up. His favorable/unfavorable rating is split because a lot of people don't know who he is.
  • Steelman's 11-point disadvantage is not a bad position for her at all, considering Nixon's higher profile and the conventional wisdom that this is a bad Republican year.
  • Nixon leads both Republican candidates among voters not affiliated with either major party. However, large segments of the unaffiliated voters (27% to 34%) are not yet supporting either Nixon or the Republican candidates in these match-ups.

Taking predictions now. Where will Hulshof and Steelman's numbers be in May?

1 comment:

Matt said...

Hulshof clearly has a tougher path to August than Steelman does. He announced his campaign the day BEFORE Super Tuesday and MO's primary. That didn't help him. Even Republicans, writ large, don't know who he is.

While he is a credible and accomplished candidate, can he make up what shortfalls he does face given this compressed calendar that was presented when Blunt opted not to run again?

As well, does Steelman have more tangible accomplishments to point to than does he?