Sunday, December 30, 2007

More Huckabee Doubters

"ROMNEY Org. Worth 4-5 Points"

Mike Huckabee has seemed to lost the pundit class during the final days of this Iowa campaign.

Not many are left betting on Huckabee to win Thursday's Iowa caucuses. And even if he finishes a close second -- which would've been a huge story 2 months ago -- is no longer good enough.

Welcome to the expectations game. Candidates live and die by them.

"Huckabee . . . is in such sense an insurgent," New York Times columnist David Brooks said. "Romney has the Republican establishment, and all the money and all the power behind him."

"For people who vote in Republican primaries, Romney is still basically the core of the party," Brooks added.

ABC consultant Donna Brazile surmised: "Romney has the organization, he has the people on the ground. He's microtargeting, he knows exactly who will come out and vote for him on caucus night. So I think a good organization, a good turn out operation is worth about 4 or 5 points and I give the advantage to Romney on the Republican side."

"If he loses in Iowa, that's it for Mike Huckabee," said ABC's George Stephanopoulos.

1 comment:

Matt said...

Don't write him off, and don't underestimate Romney's tailspin. The very fact that Romney and Huckabee are essentially tied after Romney has poured so much money and time in Iowa is astounding.

Huckabee has definately plateaued in support but still has enough gas to finish just ahead of Romney.