Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Romney, Edwards Hold Iowa Leads


Mitt Romney and John Edwards continue to lead their party rivals in the first-in-the-nation state of Iowa, according to a new Strategic Vision poll released today.

The former Massachusetts Governor leads nearest rival Fred Thompson 23%-17%. Rudy Giuliani is now third at 14%, but has been steadily losing ground in the Hawkeye State. John McCain sits at 10%. In the second tier, Tommy Thompson (6%) edges out Mike Huckabee (5%).

On the Democratic side, John Edwards continues to maintain a lead. Edwards leads the field with 26%. Barack Obama clocks in at 21%, and Hillary Clinton takes 20%. Bill Richardson wins 11%. Still, right now, it looks like any of the top 3 Dems could win Iowa. It remains a do-or-die state for Edwards.

The poll results are based on telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican caucus goers and 600 likely Democratic caucus goers, aged 18+, and conducted June 22-24, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.

2 comments:

Matt said...

That's one of the first polls I've seen which shows Romney over Fred Thompson, but it doesn't surprise because thus far Romney has done everything right to win in Iowa. My question regarding the GOP in Iowa is the "Fred Factor"- is Thompson going to participate in the Ames Straw Poll or even Iowa at all?

McCain is the one in real trouble- his numbers are down in SC as well. He had one of his county chairs quit over the immigration bill. Rudy and McCain have to be pinning their hopes on New Hampshire. What if Romney wins Iowa then Rudy wins New Hampshire then Fred Thompson wins S. Carolina all in a row? Then we'll have a dogfight on our hands!

Dionne said...

In my opinion neither Edwards or Romney are likely to win their party's nomination so I'm not sure how much this means.