Sunday, March 11, 2007

Wash Post: Blunt vs. Nixon Will Be "Nasty, Expensive & Close"

Washington Post political blogger Chris Cillizza is taking an early look at the top races for Governor this year and next year.

Missouri tops the list of the most competitive match-ups in 2008.

Cillizza places Louisiana and Kentucky as the top races, but both of those elections will be held in November 2007. Missouri is third, and his top pick for '08:

3) Missouri (2008): Gov. Matt Blunt's (R-Mo.) campaign circulated a polling memo over the last few weeks that showed the incumbent with a 47 percent favorable/45 percent unfavorable rating. His job approval numbers -- 46 percent approve/44 percent disapprove -- weren't much better. Did we mention this poll was done FOR Blunt? The fact that the campaign is touting numbers like these show how just how tough his re-election fight will be. Blunt consultant Phil Musser insists that Blunt has " passed a flurry of good public policy that voters have yet to fully appreciate," adding: "As they do, his numbers will continue to improve." Of late, however, Blunt has been battered by a sexual harassment case involving a state employee. Blunt's best break in this race may be that state Attorney General Jay Nixon is the likely Democratic nominee. Nixon finds himself in a controversy of his own involving allegations that his allies sought political contributions from a company Nixon was investigating. This race is going to be nasty, expensive and close. (Previous ranking: 3)

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