Saturday, May 03, 2008

Can Either Take Two?

New polls out of the Tuesday primary states of Indiana and North Carolina bode well for Sen. Hillary Clinton. Insider Advantage has the freshest data, and the polling firm shows Clinton with a lead in Indiana and closing in North Carolina.

Clinton 47%
Obama 40%

Obama 49%
Clinton 44%

The Real Clear Politics averages show a split decision, with Clinton wielding a 6 point average lead in Indiana and Obama holding an 8 point average lead in North Carolina.

So what's really a win Tuesday? Who's more likely to pull of a sweep? And how does the media set the expectations bar for margins?

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