Tuesday, November 04, 2008

For It Is Time

***DECISION 2008***

Tuesday, Nov. 4th 2008

Where will you be?

video

WATCH THE KY3 NEWS @ 10 REPORT ON FINAL GET OUT THE VOTE EFFORTS HERE (See John McCain For Barack Obama)

STAY WITH . . .

***KY3 News & The Political Notebook for coverage ALL DAY***

Check For LIVE TWITTERING HERE

The KY3 Coverage plan: Ky3's David Catanese with Jay Nixon's campaign at The Pageant in St. Louis; Ky3's Marie Saavedra with Kenny Hulshof's campaign in Columbia; Ky3's Sara Sheffield with Greene County Republicans; Ky3's Chad Plein with Greene County Democrats; Ky3's Paula Morehouse will cover turnout and possible problems.

WATCH FOR LIVE TEAM COVERAGE BEGINNING AT KY3 NEWS @ 5 &6, THEN ELECTION UPDATES EVERY HALF HOUR BEGINNING AT 6:52 P.M. CENTRAL.

***ELECTION NIGHT'S KY3 NEWS @ 10 WILL BEGIN EARLY AT 9:54 P.M.***

CHECK YOUR LOCAL BALLOT HERE; CHECK MY PREDICTIONS HERE

***YOUR ELECTION NIGHT TIP SHEET***

1. Two states to watch very early in the night: Virginia, where polls close at 6 p.m. (CT) and North Carolina, where polls close at 6:30 p.m. (CT). If these states are too close to call, or leaning Obama, the Democrat probably has an easy path to victory on an uncharacteristically early election night.

2. It's very possible we could know who the next President of the United States is by 7:05 Central Time.

3. If Obama is able to take 40% in Greene County (Kerry nabbed 37%) and/or the 7th Congressional District, he's likely to win the state of Missouri.

4. If you worship Karl Rove, his electoral map gives Obama 338 EVs to McCain's 200. (He has McCain winning Missouri and North Carolina, I do not.)

5. The final RealClearPolitics general election poll average puts Obama up +7.3 points nationally.

6. The final poll of Missouri from Fox News/Rasmussen is just as it should be. Deadlocked, Obama 49%, McCain 49%.

7. Key Counties I'll be watching closely outside of Greene for trends, margins, and their 2004 results:
  • St. Charles: Bush 59%, Kerry 41%; Blunt 56%, McCaskill 43%; Kinder 55%, Cook 43%
  • Jefferson: Bush 50%, Kerry 49%; Blunt 49%, McCaskill 49%; Cook 51%, Kinder 46%
  • St. Genevieve: Kerry 53%, Bush 47%; McCaskill 51%, Blunt 47%; Cook 55%, Kinder 43%
  • Lincoln: Bush 57%, Kerry 42%; Blunt 54%, McCaskill 45%; Kinder 50%, Cook 47%
8. Here are Greene's key 2004 margins: Bush 62%, Kerry 37%; Blunt 61%, McCaskill 37%; Kinder 61%, Cook 36%

9. In 2004, about 125,000 people in Greene County voted for President and Governor. Greene County Clerk Richard Struckoff is predicting 140,000 to vote in Greene County Tuesday.

10. There's usually a 250-thousand vote drop-off from President to Treasurer. Whoever can get more of their supporters to finish off their ballots will carry that down-ballot race.



1 comment:

bk said...

Ste. Genevieve is my home county. I can't imagine it will go anyway other than for Obama.

It's quite the little anomaly, isn't it?