What's a Win and What's Close Enough?

THE PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY
158 Delegates At Stake
Polls Close @ 7 p.m. Central
1.8 to 2 million Democrats expected to vote
OBAMA: "I'm not predicting a win, I'm predicting it's going to be close."
REAL CLEAR POLITICS AVERAGE: CLINTON +6
(But How Wrong Will the Polls Be?)

LATE NIGHT: DRUDGE SAYS CLINTON INTERNALS SHOW HER UP 11
CLINTON SOURCE: "It's not a matter of if, it's a matter of how much."

WHERE TO WATCH:
Who wins Lackawanna County?
Exurb voters in Lancaster, Allentown, Reading, York
Obama turnout in Philly vs. Clinton's org. in PA's "T"

HOW TO READ THE RESULTS:
Clinton by 10% or more = She's back in the game with the electability argument
Clinton by 6 to 9% = A win is a win, but not the wallop she needed. She stays in, but watch that Obama spin.
Clinton by 1 to 5% = Too close for Hil's comfort, look for some superdelegates to move and say enough's enough
An Obama Win By Any Margin = Yowsers! Fooled Again . . . He's the nominee, and polling firms go back to the drawing board . . . again.

(YET THE OBAMA PEEPS DON'T EXPECT A WIN . . .
HOW DO WE KNOW? SUPER SURROGATE CLAIRE MCCASKILL WILL BE IN WASHINGTON PRIMARY NIGHT --- NOT ON A VICTORY STAGE --- AND OBAMA WILL END THE NIGHT IN . . . INDIANA, PREPARED TO SPIN A NARROW LOSS, AS A WIN)

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