Colonel Jack Jackson's campaign manager tells the KY3 Political Blog the votes are probably not there to overtake Sandra Thomas in the down-to-the-wire Republican state auditor primary.
Paul Brown predicted that when all the votes are counted, this will be one of the tightest Republican primary races in Missouri history. But most likely, Jackson will fall just short of Thomas.
"Jack Jackson is not surrendering this race. We won't do that until all the votes are counted, and we may not concede until there is a recount, but I'm pretty confident there's not enough votes still out there to win this thing," Brown told me.
With just 17 precincts left to be counted, Jackson trails Thomas by 1,799 votes, or about half a percentage point.
"We expect to pick up another 600 to 700 votes in precincts in St. Louis county. This race could finish less than 1,000 votes apart," Brown said.
"We will ask for a recount. We don't think it is unreasonable because this will be one of the closest races in history. We're not trying to be difficult. We realize it's a longshot, but in order to keep our conscious clear, we feel it is reasonable," Brown added.
Brown said the difference in this race turned out to be the ability of Thomas to get her political backers to turn out the vote, especially in southwest Missouri. "In Jasper County, there was a 3,000 vote margin. She had a clearly coordinated effort in southwest Missouri. That was absolutely the difference," Brown said.
"She ran a good, hard race," Brown said. "We ran a good, hard race. We just lost by a nose at the wire. It would be a photo finish in a horse race. We were closing, closing, closing, and she had just enough."
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